An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · Deutsche Telekom AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated telecommunication services worldwide.
VERDICT
The label
Markup
read at $30.86
Deutsche Telekom AG holds its Markup at $30.86.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days
Price
$30.86
Valuation
14.98 trailing · 10.12 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.31
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is 91.5% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 4.9% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards — business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance.
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 37% discount to our $42.28 fair value, moderate competitive moat, 0.40% revenue growth.
Read at
$30.86
14.98 P/E · 10.12 fwd
Our fair value
$42.28
37% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$41.01
+33% to current
Target low $37.80Analyst target rangeTarget high $42.28
▲ current $30.86 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$30.86
you are here
Conservative
$42.28
+37%
Analyst avg
$41.01
+33%
Our fair value
$42.28
+37%
Analyst high
$42.28
+37%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
0.40%
Profit margin
7.22%
Debt to equity
161.87
Analyst consensus
Strong Buy · 3 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
German telecom fails on debt before value
Every month millions across Europe settle their phone bills, yet the operator behind those payments cannot clear our basic test. Deutsche Telekom shows zero revenue growth, a 7% profit margin and a forward P/E of 10.1x, but the debt ratio alone knocks it out on ethics grounds.
We pass for that reason and no other. Moderate moat and 14% ROE do not offset the leverage that sits outside our limits, regardless of the 37% gap between the current price and any notional fair value.
High debt leaves the business exposed if rates stay firm or competition intensifies, and flat top-line growth offers little cushion. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to Germany and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
DTEGY trades on OQX (the company is based in Germany). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $41. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-18Markup$32.98+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 2% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 18%. The street (3 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-03Markup$32.98+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$32.98Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
RETURNS
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$32.18
-0.5%
·
$995
-0.5%
2 months
$36.48
-12.2%
·
$878
-12.2%
3 months
$36.57
-12.4%
$1.16
$908
-9.2%
6 months
$30.44
+5.2%
$1.16
$1,090
+9.0%
1 year
$36.98
-13.4%
$1.16
$897
-10.3%
2 years
$23.01
+39.2%
$2.18
$1,487
+48.7%
3 years
$18.61
+72.2%
$3.02
$1,884
+88.4%
5 years
$18.38
+74.2%
$4.46
$1,985
+98.5%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SEALED
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever DTEGY does next, these words stay.
Deutsche Telekom AG · DTEGY · Markup · $30.86
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically