The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
EchoStar
SATS · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $16.5B · 12,100 employees
EchoStar Corporation provides pay-tv services in the United States, Mexico, Canada, South and Central America, Asia, Africa, Australia, Europe, India, and the Middle East.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 04:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price94.88 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
- Our ratingAvoid, current read distribution
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 94.88 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 131.00, over the last year.
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
EchoStar holds its Distribution at $94.88. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days |
| Price at the screen | $94.88 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -911.54 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 10.0 |
| Beta | 0.96 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 70.01% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 70.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.45% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.5% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 7.34% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 7.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 1.52% | Below 5% | Only 1.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
EchoStar's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 70% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 38% discount to our $131.00 fair value, weak competitive moat.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 38.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsSatellite TV dreams collide with brutal losses
Picture your monthly TV bill funding a global satellite network that still cannot turn a profit. EchoStar delivers pay TV across the Americas and beyond yet posts revenue shrinking five percent, margins at minus ninety eight percent and return on equity of minus one hundred twelve percent.
We pass. The forward price to earnings sits at minus nine hundred eleven times, the moat is weak and the ethical screen flags excessive debt. Analyst targets may sit above the current price but none of that offsets the fundamental picture.
High leverage and persistent losses leave little room for error if competition or currency moves intensify. The business model depends on capital heavy infrastructure that shows no sign of paying off.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -911.5x |
| EPS, trailing | -50.21 |
| EPS, forward | -0.11 |
| Revenue growth | -5.2%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | -97.6%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -112.3%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -1.52% |
| Debt to equity | 5.15heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 0.30below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | 0.96steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.36% |
| 52-week range | 26.04 - 147.25 |
| Moat | WEAK |
| Market cap | $16.5B |
| Employees | 12,100 |
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeSATS trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 10.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | WADE WILLIAM DAVID | Director | 5,000 | $122,450 | |
| 2026-03-06 | AKHAVAN HAMID | Officer and Director | 71,005 | $7,634,458 | |
| 2026-03-06 | AKHAVAN HAMID | Officer and Director | 254,335 | $4,162,676 | |
| 2026-03-05 | MANSON DEAN A | Officer | 19,031 | $2,180,266 | |
| 2026-03-05 | MANSON DEAN A | Officer | 21,631 | $303,699 | |
| 2026-03-04 | SWIERINGA JOHN W | Chief Operating Officer | 50,088 | $5,689,228 | |
| 2026-03-04 | SWIERINGA JOHN W | Chief Operating Officer | 35,088 | $581,408 | |
| 2025-12-31 | ERGEN CANTEY | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | 1,754 | $161,666 | |
| 2025-12-31 | ABERNATHY KATHLEEN Q | Director | 1,754 | $161,666 | |
| 2025-12-31 | AKHAVAN HAMID | Officer and Director | 263,158 | · |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $129.14 | -10.8% | · | $892 | -10.8% |
| 2 months | $128.59 | -10.4% | · | $896 | -10.4% |
| 3 months | $107.71 | +7.0% | · | $1,070 | +7.0% |
| 6 months | $104.39 | +10.4% | · | $1,104 | +10.4% |
| 1 year | $16.74 | +588.4% | · | $6,884 | +588.4% |
| 2 years | $17.83 | +546.3% | · | $6,463 | +546.3% |
| 3 years | $17.02 | +577.1% | · | $6,771 | +577.1% |
| 5 years | $27.01 | +326.7% | · | $4,267 | +326.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever SATS does next, these words stay.
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