An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · EchoStar Corporation provides pay-tv services in the United States, Mexico, Canada, South and Central America, Asia, Africa, Australia, Europe, India, and the Middle East.
VERDICT
The label
Accumulation
read at $103.92
EchoStar holds its Accumulation at $103.92.
PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Accumulation label
INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
edge confirmed
edge broken
edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
INVESTOR
The investor read · the season, not the day
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-27
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 164 days
Price
$103.92
Valuation
N/A trailing · -911.54 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
0.96
OPPORTUNITY
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Our framework reads AVOID — it trades at roughly a 26% discount to our $131.00 fair value, weak competitive moat.
Read at
$103.92
N/A P/E · -911.54 fwd
Our fair value
$131.00
26% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$131.00
+26% to current
Target low $120.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $161.00
▲ current $103.92 · | average target
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Current
$103.92
you are here
Conservative
$120.00
+15%
Analyst avg
$131.00
+26%
Our fair value
$131.00
+26%
Analyst high
$161.00
+55%
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Revenue growth
-5.20%
Profit margin
-97.56%
Debt to equity
515.06
Analyst consensus
Buy · 5 covering
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
SCREEN
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:
The common standard· AAOIFI Used by most halal investing apps✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard· asset-based The one Titan applies✗ DOES NOT PASS
Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.
Business activityIts core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.Pass
Debt loadInterest-bearing debt is 70.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.Fail
Interest-bearing cashCash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.5% of assets, under the one-third limit.Pass
ReceivablesMoney owed to the company is 7.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.Pass
Revenue purityOnly 1.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line.Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
PLAIN
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Satellite TV dreams collide with brutal losses
Picture your monthly TV bill funding a global satellite network that still cannot turn a profit. EchoStar delivers pay TV across the Americas and beyond yet posts revenue shrinking five percent, margins at minus ninety eight percent and return on equity of minus one hundred twelve percent.
We pass. The forward price to earnings sits at minus nine hundred eleven times, the moat is weak and the ethical screen flags excessive debt. Analyst targets may sit above the current price but none of that offsets the fundamental picture.
High leverage and persistent losses leave little room for error if competition or currency moves intensify. The business model depends on capital heavy infrastructure that shows no sign of paying off.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
TRADE
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
SATS trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
TRADER
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138. Entered 2026-07-18 · Accumulation
JOURNAL
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
2026-07-18Accumulation$116.28+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 588%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 48%. The street (5 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $138.
2026-07-03Accumulation$116.28+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$116.28Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
INSIDERS
The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed
Most recent filings · SATS
Date
Insider
Title
Type
Shares
Value
2026-05-18
WADE WILLIAM DAVID
Director
5,000
$122,450
2026-03-06
AKHAVAN HAMID
Officer and Director
71,005
$7,634,458
2026-03-06
AKHAVAN HAMID
Officer and Director
254,335
$4,162,676
2026-03-05
MANSON DEAN A
Officer
19,031
$2,180,266
2026-03-05
MANSON DEAN A
Officer
21,631
$303,699
2026-03-04
SWIERINGA JOHN W
Chief Operating Officer
50,088
$5,689,228
2026-03-04
SWIERINGA JOHN W
Chief Operating Officer
35,088
$581,408
2025-12-31
ERGEN CANTEY
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
