The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 33%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $34.
Denali Therapeutics Inc.
DNLI · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $3.9B · 507 employees
Denali Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutics to treat neurodegenerative and lysosomal storage diseases.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-26
Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
Denali Therapeutics Inc. holds its Markdown at $24.57. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 1 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 1 days |
| Price at the screen | $24.57 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -10.10 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.00 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 3.21% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 3.2% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 57.87% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 57.9% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 18.12% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 18.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 42.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 16 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +42% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsNeurodegenerative bets hide behind missing financials
Developing drugs for brain diseases is like drilling for oil in the dark. Denali Therapeutics spends heavily on early stage candidates for neurodegenerative conditions yet shows zero profit margin and a negative fifty per cent return on equity. With no usable financial ratios the ethical screen returns insufficient data, so the opportunity rating stays at none despite analysts clustering around a thirty five dollar target.
The business sits in a high burn sector where forward earnings sit at a negative nine point four times multiple because losses continue. Strong buy ratings from sixteen analysts reflect pipeline hope rather than current delivery, but the lack of basic ratio visibility blocks any further assessment under our rules.
Risk sits in execution and capital needs, typical for clinical stage biotechnology where one failed trial can wipe out years of spend. Currency or market swings matter less here than the simple absence of track record data. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -10.1x |
| EPS, trailing | -2.84 |
| EPS, forward | -2.43 |
| Profit margin | 0.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -54.9%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -6.84% |
| Debt to equity | 4.51heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 8.37comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.00moves a little more than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.12% |
| 52-week range | 12.58 - 27.30 |
| Market cap | $3.9B |
| Employees | 507 |
The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeDNLI trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 33%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $34.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 33%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 30%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $34.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $19.67 | +3.5% | · | $1,035 | +3.5% |
| 2 months | $19.23 | +5.9% | · | $1,059 | +5.9% |
| 3 months | $20.70 | -1.7% | · | $983 | -1.7% |
| 6 months | $17.37 | +17.2% | · | $1,172 | +17.2% |
| 1 year | $15.26 | +33.4% | · | $1,334 | +33.4% |
| 2 years | $21.02 | -3.2% | · | $968 | -3.2% |
| 3 years | $30.52 | -33.3% | · | $667 | -33.3% |
| 5 years | $75.00 | -72.9% | · | $271 | -72.9% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever DNLI does next, these words stay.
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