Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing medicines for patients living with rare diseases in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
31.49 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 31.49 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 32.00, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price31.49 USD
Fair value32.00
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Accumulation31.36+0.4% to today ✓
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $31.49. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 32 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 32 days
Price at the screen
$31.49
Valuation
18.20 trailing · 9.90 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.74
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Accounts receivable
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
0.25%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 0.3% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
75.69%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 75.7% of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Revenue purity
4.20%
Below 5%
Only 4.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 1.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +0% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price: fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Rare Disease Drugmaker Offers Little Margin Of Safety
Picture a patient in the US finally getting reliable access to treatment for a muscle disorder that most doctors barely know. Catalyst Pharmaceuticals turns that need into a commercial product with 37% profit margins and 24% return on equity. Yet the shares sit just 2% below our fair value estimate, which is why the opportunity rating stays at none despite clearing the ethical screen.
The business trades on a forward multiple of 9 times earnings with only 6% revenue growth expected. Three analysts see a median target at the current price level, so the low multiple simply reflects modest expansion rather than a bargain. An unknown competitive moat leaves the durability of those margins open to question once any new rivals appear.
Biotech remains exposed to regulatory shifts and single-product concentration even in rare-disease niches. With growth this contained and the valuation already matched to fair value, the setup carries no real edge. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
CPRX trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-25Accumulation$31.49+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 33% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-25Accumulation$31.49+0.4%Entry 4
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 33% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-18Accumulation$31.36+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 33% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 19%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-03Accumulation$31.36+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$31.36Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
