The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 14.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 52% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 67%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $57.
Enliven Therapeutics, Inc.
ELVN · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $3.9B · 61 employees
Enliven Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of small molecule inhibitors to help patients with cancer.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-09-15
Screened 2026-09-15 · the tape above runs as of 23:00 UTC · 20 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
What this means: price 53.36 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 74.00, over the last year.
- Trend Markdown
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markdown label.
Enliven Therapeutics, Inc. holds its Markdown at $53.36. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 25 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 25 days |
| Price at the screen | $53.36 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · -22.82 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.25 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Interest-bearing securities
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 0.08% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 0.1% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 76.39% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 76.4% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 20.77% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 20.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 38.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +39% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsEarly cancer drug bets face thin data walls
A clinical stage biotech chasing small molecule inhibitors for cancer feels like funding a lab notebook that might one day become a pill. Enliven sits at that exact point, with its lead candidate still in Phase 1 and zero product revenue to date. We pass because the opportunity rating shows none and the ethical screen returns insufficient data on basic financial ratios.
The numbers underline the gap. Forward P/E sits at negative 22.9 times, profit margins are zero and return on equity is negative 27 percent. Nine analysts still carry a strong buy consensus and a 62 dollar median target above the current 53.20 price, yet those forecasts rest on future trial success that remains unproven.
Risk sits around the complete lack of financial history and ethical metrics, plus the usual binary outcome of early oncology trials. Currency or cyclical exposure does not apply here; instead the absence of any moat rating or ratio coverage leaves the position too thin to assess properly. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | -22.8x |
| EPS, trailing | -1.65 |
| EPS, forward | -2.34 |
| Profit margin | 0.0%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -15.3%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -1.16% |
| Debt to equity | 0.17minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 64.07comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.25barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.17% |
| 52-week range | 14.79 - 62.32 |
| Market cap | $3.9B |
| Employees | 61 |
The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
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Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 15.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 52% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 67%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $57.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 52% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 67%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 36%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $57.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $39.59 | -8.7% | · | $913 | -8.7% |
| 2 months | $45.32 | -20.2% | · | $798 | -20.2% |
| 3 months | $28.81 | +25.5% | · | $1,255 | +25.5% |
| 6 months | $18.77 | +92.6% | · | $1,926 | +92.6% |
| 1 year | $21.70 | +66.6% | · | $1,666 | +66.6% |
| 2 years | $22.58 | +60.1% | · | $1,601 | +60.1% |
| 3 years | $21.62 | +67.2% | · | $1,672 | +67.2% |
| 5 years | $34.20 | +5.7% | · | $1,057 | +5.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ELVN does next, these words stay.
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