VICI
Vici Properties
Real Estate · Hotel & Resort REITs · US
$28.84
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$31.1B
Trailing P/E
9.90
Forward P/E
9.80
Rev Growth
+3.5%
Profit Margin
76.8%
ROE
11.3%
Analyst Target
$34.17
Recommendation
BUY
About Vici Properties

VICI Properties Inc. is an S&P 500 experiential real estate investment trust that owns one of the largest portfolios of market-leading gaming, hospitality, wellness, entertainment and leisure destinations, including Caesars Palace Las Vegas, MGM Grand and the Venetian Resort Las Vegas, three of the most iconic entertainment facilities on the Las Vegas Strip. VICI Properties owns 93 experiential assets across a geographically diverse portfolio consisting of 54 gaming properties and 39 other experiential properties across the United States and Canada. The portfolio is comprised of approximately 127 million square feet and features approximately 60,300 hotel rooms and over 500 restaurants, bars, nightclubs and sportsbooks. Its properties are occupied by industry-leading gaming, leisure and hospitality operators under long-term, triple-net lease agreements. VICI Properties has a growing array of real estate and financing partnerships with leading developers and operators in other experiential sectors, including Cabot, Cain, Canyon Ranch, Chelsea Piers, Great Wolf Resorts, Homefield, Kalahari Resorts and Lucky Strike Entertainment. VICI Properties also owns four championship golf courses and approximately 33 acres of undeveloped and underdeveloped land adjacent to the Las Vegas Strip. VICI Properties' goal is to create the highest quality and most productive experiential real estate portfolio through a strategy of partnering with the highest quality experiential place makers and operators. VICI Properties Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in New York, United States.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $29 against a fair value of $59, a 51% discount. Moderate competitive position. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 77% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.38%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 95.0
Score Quality: 41.0
Score Combined: 46.5
Fair Value Est: $59.00 · Margin of Safety: +104.6% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality30.1
Cash Flow51.2
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet81.7
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity99.7
Rev Purity92.8
Compliance56.6
Tier: GOLD · Score: 74.5 · Rank: #180
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-290.71Pending--
2026-04-290.710.82+15.0%
2026-02-250.700.57-19.1%
2025-10-300.690.71+3.4%
2025-07-300.700.83+17.9%
2025-04-300.690.51-24.9%
2025-02-200.680.67-0.2%
2024-10-310.670.67+0.8%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$1.0B$872.4M$1.1B$1.0B$1.1B0.82
2025-12-31$1.0B$604.8M$820.9M$1.0B$813.8M0.57
2025-09-30$1.0B$762.0M$988.8M$1.0B$984.0M0.71
2025-06-30$1.0B$865.1M$1.1B$994.7M$1.1B0.82
2025-03-31$984.2M$543.6M$760.1M$977.9M$755.5M0.51
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-04-28DOUGLAS MONICA HOWARDDirector7,546--
2026-04-28MACNAB CRAIGDirector7,546--
2026-04-28ABRAHAMSON JAMES RDirector7,546--
2026-04-28CANTOR DIANA FDirector7,546--
2026-04-28RUMBOLZ MICHAEL DDirector7,546--
2026-04-28HOLLAND ELIZABETH IDirector7,546--
2026-04-01DOUGLAS MONICA HOWARDDirector151--
2026-04-01MACNAB CRAIGDirector412--
2026-04-01ABRAHAMSON JAMES RDirector914--
2026-04-01CANTOR DIANA FDirector480--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.132.3M$3.8B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC84.3M$2.4B0.1%
State Street Corporation64.9M$1.8B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC64.6M$1.8B0.1%
Geode Capital Management, LLC39.1M$1.1B0.0%
Allianz Asset Management GmbH31.0M$882.4M0.0%
Bank of America Corporation28.2M$802.5M0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO25.4M$724.6M0.0%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc18.9M$538.8M0.0%
Capital Research Global Investors18.0M$512.0M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
5
12
7
24 analysts
2 Months Ago
5
12
7
24 analysts
Last Month
5
13
6
24 analysts
Current
5
12
7
24 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$48.1B
Price/Book
1.08
Beta
0.696
Analysts
23
Total Revenue (TTM)
$4.0B
Total Debt
$17.7B
Earnings Growth
+60.1%
Dividend Yield
618.0%
Rec. Mean
1.79
Short Ratio
4.25
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
28

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 46.5 (P66 — top 34.3% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical FAIL. 23 analysts at Buy.
Price: $28.84 | Target: $34.17 (+18%) | Fair Value: $59.00 (+105%)
Score
46
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+18%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+3.5%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE11.3%
Forward P/E9.8
Market Cap$31.1B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-29$0.71Pending
2026-04-29$0.71$0.82+15.0%
2026-02-25$0.70$0.57-19.1%
2025-10-30$0.69$0.71+3.4%
2025-07-30$0.70$0.83+17.9%
2025-04-30$0.69$0.51-24.9%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $24.51 (-15%) | Entry: $28.84
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($34.17, 23 analysts)
10$288.40+$53.30 (18%)1.2R
50$1,442.00+$266.50 (18%)1.2R
100$2,884.00+$533.00 (18%)1.2R
To Fair Value ($59.00)
10$288.40+$301.60 (105%)7.0R
50$1,442.00+$1,508.00 (105%)7.0R
100$2,884.00+$3,016.00 (105%)7.0R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.25 days to cover)
The Verdict
Vici Properties holds a moderate competitive moat and trades at a 104.6% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
54.8
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.8%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-2.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.55
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.2x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
62.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
XLRE0.738
NNN0.683
FCPT0.669
RQI0.665
O0.663
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.218
2050.SR-0.190
4083.SR-0.173
4325.SR-0.172
NTSK-0.151
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Oct
Fri-Mon Effect
0.018504965390831546
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+2.5%
Beat Drift Positive %
75.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+0.7%
3M Return
-3.9%
6M Return
+2.6%
12M Return
-2.6%
Momentum Rank
#2837
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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