ESRT
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified · NYQ
$5.77
Close 2026-05-28
✓ ETHICAL PASS

UNKNOWN MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$1.8B
Trailing P/E
27.48
Forward P/E
96.17
Rev Growth
+4.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
ROE
3.3%
Analyst Target
$6.50
Recommendation
HOLD
About Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is a NYC-focused REIT that owns and operates a portfolio of well-leased, modernized well-located offices and multifamily assets. ESRT's flagship Empire State Building, the (World's Most Famous Building) features its iconic Observatory. The Company is a recognized leader in energy efficiency and indoor environmental quality. As of December 31, 2025, ESRT's portfolio is comprised of approximately 7.9 million rentable square feet of office space, 0.8 million rentable square feet of retail space and 743 residential units. Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. was established on July 29, 2011, and was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, United States.

Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt RatioN/A
Cash RatioN/A
Receivables RatioN/A
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 64.7
Score Valuation: 22.5
Score Quality: 45.2
Score Combined: 40.4

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation21.0
Quality22.1
Cash Flow100.0
Moat40.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 42.8 · Rank: #3879
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
No institutional holder data.
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$4.0B
Price/Book
0.93
Beta
1.363
Analysts
5
Total Revenue (TTM)
$776.7M
Total Debt
$2.3B
Earnings Growth
-86.8%
Dividend Yield
243.0%
Rec. Mean
2.67
Short Ratio
7.40
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
642

Elite Intelligence

Trade Consideration with position sizing, convergence signals, and risk analysis. Available to Elite members.

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 40.4 (P45 — top 55.3% of scored tickers). Unknown Moat. Ethical PASS. 5 analysts at Hold.
Price: $5.77 | Target: $6.51 (+13%)
Score
40
Moat
Unknown
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+13%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+4.9%
Profit Margin5.1%
ROE3.3%
Forward P/E96.2
Market Cap$1.8B
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $4.90 (-15%) | Entry: $5.77
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($6.51, 5 analysts)
10$57.70+$7.40 (13%)0.9R
50$288.50+$37.00 (13%)0.9R
100$577.00+$74.00 (13%)0.9R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (7.40 days to cover)
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. passes all ethical screens and holds a unknown competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
43.5
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
7
Quality: HMM_CRISIS
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.2%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.98
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-55.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
65
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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DEI0.618
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
SUKOON.AE-0.200
SUNC-0.155
4503.T-0.152
MEZZAN.KW-0.124
QCFS.QA-0.115
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
May
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.1846373652061975
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
0.0%
3M Return
-4.7%
6M Return
-14.5%
12M Return
-22.7%
Momentum Rank
#3483
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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