The Screen · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing
V.F. Corporation
VFC · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $5.2B · 14,560 employees
V.F.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
13.17 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
V.F. Corporation holds its Markdown at $13.17. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 235 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 235 days
Price at the screen
$13.17
Valuation
19.09 trailing · 9.83 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.97
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
53.64%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 53.6% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.13%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.1% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
24.24%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 24.2% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.19%
Below 5%
Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 61.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 21 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +29% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Apparel maker looks cheap but offers slim growth
Every winter jacket or hiking boot sold in a shopping centre still has to move through the same slow cycle of seasons and spending moods that no brand fully controls. V.F. Corporation sits at a forward multiple of 12.4 times with a 32 percent gap to our fair value yet revenue is advancing only 1 percent a year and margins sit at 6 percent. The ethical screen clears but the opportunity rating stays at none because the business shows no durable edge in a crowded market.
The 22 percent return on equity looks attractive on paper yet the company operates in a cyclical sector where low multiples often signal peak earnings rather than bargains. Twenty one analysts rate the shares a hold with a median target of 18 dollars, below our own assessment, and the unknown moat leaves little room for outperformance once consumer spending turns.
Risk centres on fashion shifts and economic sensitivity that could compress those margins further without any visible catalyst for faster top line growth. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
VFC trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 16.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (21 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $20.
2026-07-18Markdown$17.64+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 5% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 28%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (21 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $20.
2026-07-03Markdown$17.64+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$17.64Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
