PRKS · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.9B · 3,300 employees
United Parks & Resorts Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a theme park and entertainment company in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
42.49 USD
At the last full screen 2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 10:31 UTC · 13 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
United Parks & Resorts Inc. holds its Distribution at $42.49. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 13 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 13 days
Price at the screen
$42.49
Valuation
16.93 trailing · 9.32 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.16
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
89.76%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 89.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
6.77%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 6.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 29.4% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +12% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Theme Park Bargains Often Hide Cyclical Traps
Picture a family queuing for the orca show on a hot Florida afternoon. The ticket revenue lands, yet United Parks & Resorts still posted a three percent revenue drop while margins sit at nine percent. The forward multiple of 9.6 times looks tempting next to a calculated fair value twenty four percent higher, but leisure spending is brutally cyclical and the unknown moat offers no protection when the next downturn arrives.
We pass. Low earnings multiples on consumer cyclical names frequently mark peak profits rather than genuine value, and the analyst median target of forty six dollars barely clears the current price. Ethical screens clear, yet that alone does not turn a seasonal, weather-exposed business into a durable compounder.
Execution risk remains high if attendance softens or fuel and labour costs climb. The market has already priced in modest growth, so any slip in visitor numbers would quickly erase the apparent discount. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PRKS trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-10Markdown · changed$42.49-5.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
2026-08-09Markup$45.11-0.1%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
2026-07-18Markup$45.15+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 3%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 22%. The street (10 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $44.
2026-07-03Markup$45.15+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$45.15Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
