Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical passes the values gate
Price39.39 USD
Fair value64.03
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-18Read Markdown39.39+0.0% to today
2026-08-18Read Distribution52.20-24.5% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Markup50.42-21.9% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against today's price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
YETI Holdings, Inc. holds its Markdown at $39.39. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 15 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-15
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 15 days
Price at the screen
$39.39
Valuation
17.28 trailing · 11.70 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.70
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
18.49%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 18.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
26.69%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 26.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-15 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 62.6% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +37% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Summer Coolers Face Slow Growth and Cyclical Drag
Think of the family loading the car for a weekend by the lake. The YETI cooler in the boot is the premium choice, yet the company behind it grows revenue at just 8 percent a year. Margins sit at 8 percent and return on equity reaches 22 percent, numbers that look solid until you remember this is a consumer cyclical business selling discretionary leisure gear.
We pass because the opportunity rating is none despite the 23 percent gap to our fair value. Forward earnings sit at 15.4 times, hardly cheap for single-digit growth, and the analyst median target of 53 dollars sits only a touch above the current price. The ethical screen is clean, yet nothing here signals durable advantage or accelerating demand.
Risk sits in the cyclical exposure. Leisure spending can fall quickly when wallets tighten, and an unknown moat leaves the brand open to cheaper rivals. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
YETI trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-18Markdown · changed$39.39-24.5%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 24.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $51.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $51.
2026-07-18Markup$50.42+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 49%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $51.
2026-07-03Markup$50.42+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$50.42Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.