The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 13.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $12. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
Liberty Latin America Ltd.
LILA · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.6B · 9,000 employees
Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinid…
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its accumulation label.
Liberty Latin America Ltd. holds its Accumulation at $8.33. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 244 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 244 days |
| Price at the screen | $8.33 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 12.82 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.74 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 68.50% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 68.5% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 11.76% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 11.8% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 8.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +46% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsCaribbean Telecom Shows Flat Growth and Losses
Picture island families trying to stay connected through patchy networks that never quite deliver steady upgrades. Liberty Latin America runs fixed, mobile and subsea links across Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Costa Rica and the wider region, yet revenue has stalled at zero growth while the business posts an 11 percent negative profit margin and a 35 percent negative return on equity.
The forward multiple of 11.3 times earnings looks undemanding on paper and the ethical screen clears, but the underlying numbers show a company that is not compounding value. Three analysts still rate it a buy with an 11 dollar median target, yet the absence of any growth engine or positive returns leaves little reason to step in.
Currency swings, regulatory pressure and competition from stronger regional players add real downside in these markets. The margin of safety to our fair value sits at just 15 percent and offers no cushion against further deterioration. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 12.8xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| EPS, trailing | -0.48 |
| EPS, forward | 0.65 |
| Revenue growth | +1.5%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | -2.2%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -3.7%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | 26.43% |
| Debt to equity | 9.06heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.19adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 0.74steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 4.58 - 8.90 |
| Market cap | $1.6B |
| Employees | 9,000 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Bermuda and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeLILA trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Bermuda). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 10.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $12. Insiders have been net buyers over the past quarter.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 50%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $12.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Winter John M | SVP, CLO, SECRETARY | Purchase | 5,071 | $9 |
| 2026-06-25 | Malone John C | Director Emeritus | Purchase | 399,699 | $6 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $7.71 | +2.0% | · | $1,020 | +2.0% |
| 2 months | $8.13 | -3.3% | · | $967 | -3.3% |
| 3 months | $7.56 | +4.0% | · | $1,040 | +4.0% |
| 6 months | $8.70 | -9.6% | · | $904 | -9.6% |
| 1 year | $5.26 | +49.5% | · | $1,495 | +49.5% |
| 2 years | $8.82 | -10.8% | · | $892 | -10.8% |
| 3 years | $7.99 | -1.6% | · | $984 | -1.6% |
| 5 years | $13.87 | -43.3% | · | $567 | -43.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever LILA does next, these words stay.
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