The Screen · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
TV · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.3B · 25,531 employees
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
2.38 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. holds its Markdown at $2.38. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 145 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 145 days
Price at the screen
$2.38
Valuation
N/A trailing · 16.03 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.03
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
40.03%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 40.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
1.50%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 1.5% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.59%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
4.53%
Below 5%
Only 4.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 2.8% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +38% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Mexican Broadcaster Stuck In A Shrinking Market
Picture a family in Mexico City still paying for cable while Netflix and local streamers eat into every hour of viewing. Grupo Televisa sits at the centre of that squeeze, with revenue already falling three percent and both profit margins and return on equity deep in negative territory. The six percent gap to our fair value does not change the fact that the business shows no clear path back to growth, so we pass.
The forward multiple of nine times earnings looks cheap on paper, yet it reflects a company posting losses and no identifiable moat. Eight analysts sit on a hold rating with a three dollar median target, barely above the current price. An ethical screen pass removes one layer of concern, but it cannot fix the underlying decline in the core cable and satellite segments.
Currency swings, regulatory pressure and relentless streaming competition remain real threats that could widen the losses further. The low multiple here signals peak earnings risk rather than a bargain. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Mexico and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
TV trades on the NYSE (the company is based in Mexico). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-15Accumulation · changed$2.84-1.7%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4.
2026-07-18Markdown$2.89+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (10 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $4.
2026-07-03Markdown$2.89+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markdown$2.89Entry 1
The framework reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
