Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinid…
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
8.80 USD
Screen close, 2026-09-21 · not a live quote
Screened 2026-09-21 · the tape above runs as of 15:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 8.80 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 5.46, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price8.80 USD
Fair value5.46
Ethical score70.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-09-04Read Accumulation8.27+6.4% to today ✓
2026-08-04Read Markup7.33+20.1% to today ✓
2026-07-02Read Distribution8.20+7.3% to today
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Liberty Latin America Ltd. holds its Accumulation at $8.80. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 244 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-21
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 244 days
Price at the screen
$8.80
Valuation
N/A trailing · 21.46 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
0.74
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
68.50%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 68.5% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
11.76%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 11.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-21 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 38.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 2 covering, consensus None. The average target sits −18% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-21 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Caribbean Telecom Trades Well Above Fair Value
Picture a phone network strung across hurricane-prone islands where every connection costs more to maintain than it brings in. Liberty Latin America delivers fixed and mobile services across Puerto Rico, Jamaica and a string of Caribbean and Latin American markets, yet it posted flat revenue, an 11% negative profit margin and a 35% negative return on equity. The shares sit at 7.33 dollars against our 5.20 dollar fair value, leaving no margin of safety and an opportunity rating of none.
We pass because the business shows no growth momentum and continues to destroy capital at a time when its forward multiple of 17.9 times offers no discount for those risks. Two analysts rate the stock a hold with a median target of 7 dollars, which simply lines up with the current price rather than signalling upside.
Currency swings, regulatory pressure and intense local competition remain live threats in these markets, and the lack of a clear moat leaves little room for error. The ethical screen is passed, yet the financial picture still fails our test.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Bermuda and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
LILAK trades on Nasdaq (the company is based in Bermuda). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 12.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 46%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-08-04Markup · changed$7.33-10.6%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 10.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 46%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-07-18Distribution$8.20+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 46%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (2 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $8.
2026-07-03Distribution$8.20+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$8.20Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
