KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
Consumer Staples · Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages · US
$29.00
Close 2026-05-15
✓ ETHICAL PASS

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$39.5B
Trailing P/E
21.49
Forward P/E
11.49
Rev Growth
+9.4%
Profit Margin
10.8%
ROE
6.3%
Analyst Target
$33.25
Recommendation
BUY
About Keurig Dr Pepper

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. It manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, as well as sales of owned brands and third-party brands; tea, cocoa, and other products; and offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, GHOST, Snapple, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Clamato, Core Hydration, The Original Donut Shop, Sunkist soda, Squirt, C4 Energy, Hawaiian Punch, Electrolit, Bloom, Bai, Evian, Yoo-Hoo, Vita Coco, Big Red, RC Cola, Crush, McCafé, Tim Hortons, Van Houtte, Celestial Seasonings, Bigelow, Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers, Peet's, 7up Energy, and Swiss Miss brands, as well as other partner and private label brands. It markets and sells its products to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, e-commerce retailers, office superstores, vending machines, fountains, grocery and drug stores, convenience stores, and other small outlets; and directly to consumers through Keurig.com website. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Frisco, Texas.

Opportunity Summary
Trading near fair value at $29 (estimated $30). Passes all ethical screens. Ranks better than 94% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.29%)PASS
Cash Ratio (0.03%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.05%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallPASS
Score Ethical: 86.6
Score Valuation: 77.5
Score Quality: 52.2
Score Combined: 60.3
Fair Value Est: $30.29 · Margin of Safety: +4.2% · Tier: OPPORTUNITY

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation98.2
Quality44.7
Cash Flow0.0
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet71.3
Debt Purity11.8
Liquid Purity90.9
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance61.0
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 53.7 · Rank: #1101
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-230.54Pending--
2026-04-230.370.39+4.2%
2026-02-240.590.60+2.0%
2025-10-270.520.49-5.2%
2025-07-240.490.49+1.0%
2025-04-240.380.42+9.8%
2025-02-250.570.58+1.5%
2024-10-240.510.51+0.8%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$4.0B$270.0M$823.0M$2.1B$756.0M0.20
2025-12-31$4.5B$353.0M$894.0M$2.4B$959.0M0.26
2025-09-30$4.3B$662.0M$1.2B$2.3B$995.0M0.49
2025-06-30$4.2B$547.0M$1.1B$2.3B$898.0M0.40
2025-03-31$3.6B$517.0M$971.0M$2.0B$801.0M0.38
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-05GORLI ERICOfficer6,757--
2026-03-05LEMIRE OLIVIEROfficer2,394--
2026-03-05DENOOYER MARY BETHOfficer6,757--
2026-03-05GAMGORT ROBERT JAMESDirector14,077--
2026-03-05SHOEMAKER ANTHONYOfficer6,757--
2026-03-05JOHNSON ROGER FREDERICKOfficer6,757--
2026-03-05STEPHENS ANGELA AOfficer2,394--
2026-03-05COFER TIMOTHY PChief Executive Officer30,969--
2026-03-03PATSLEY PAMELA HDirector5,226--
2026-03-03SINGER ROBERT STEVENDirector5,226--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
FMR, LLC145.6M$4.2B0.1%
Blackrock Inc.125.5M$3.7B0.1%
Capital World Investors99.0M$2.9B0.1%
Harris Associates L.P.93.1M$2.7B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC86.0M$2.5B0.1%
State Street Corporation65.1M$1.9B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC62.1M$1.8B0.0%
Wellington Management Group, LLP61.7M$1.8B0.0%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.37.3M$1.1B0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO33.3M$968.6M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
4
6
7
17 analysts
2 Months Ago
4
6
5
15 analysts
Last Month
3
7
6
16 analysts
Current
4
6
7
17 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$76.0B
Price/Book
1.57
Beta
0.416
Analysts
16
Total Revenue (TTM)
$16.9B
Total Debt
$28.9B
Earnings Growth
-47.7%
Dividend Yield
3.2%
Rec. Mean
2.06
Short Ratio
4.66
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
30,600

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 60.3 (P95 — top 4.6% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical PASS. 16 analysts at Buy.
Price: $29.00 | Target: $33.25 (+15%) | Fair Value: $30.29 (+4%)
Score
60
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+15%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+9.4%
Profit Margin10.8%
ROE6.3%
Forward P/E11.5
Market Cap$39.5B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-23$0.54Pending
2026-04-23$0.37$0.39+4.2%
2026-02-24$0.59$0.60+2.0%
2025-10-27$0.52$0.49-5.2%
2025-07-24$0.49$0.49+1.0%
2025-04-24$0.38$0.42+9.8%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $24.65 (-15%) | Entry: $29.00
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($33.25, 16 analysts)
10$290.05+$42.50 (15%)1.0R
50$1,450.25+$212.50 (15%)1.0R
100$2,900.50+$425.00 (15%)1.0R
To Fair Value ($30.29)
10$290.05+$12.90 (4%)0.3R
50$1,450.25+$64.50 (4%)0.3R
100$2,900.50+$129.00 (4%)0.3R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (4.66 days to cover)
The Verdict
Keurig Dr Pepper passes all ethical screens and holds a narrow competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
53.3
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.1%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-3.9%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.18
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
BELOW_200
Bollinger Position
ABOVE_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.8x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
VIA-0.209
FIGR-0.191
CLEANING.KW-0.149
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Monday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
0.24168535316970577
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-2.5%
Beat Drift Positive %
42.9%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+1.1%
3M Return
-3.9%
6M Return
+10.5%
12M Return
-7.5%
Momentum Rank
#2624
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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