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NAS100 29,644 +0.67% S&P 7,651 +0.17% GOLD $4,418 +0.42% BTC $81,092 +6.14% VIX 14.81 −4.08% live tape · as of 21:00 UTC
The Screen · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc logoCoca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc

CCEP · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $45.8B · 37,003 employees

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells a range of non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
103.82 USD

At the last full screen
2026-09-09

Screened 2026-09-09 · the tape above runs as of 21:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its distribution label.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc holds its Distribution at $103.82. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 21 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-09-09
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 21 days
Price at the screen$103.82
Valuation20.12 trailing · 18.20 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.48
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Excluded keyword in: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Excluded keyword in: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

82.93Conservative101.72Base case116.98Growth case 103.82Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-09 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 2.0% above the base estimate.

The Street's Range
92.14Street low 115.73Street average 121.29Street high 103.82Price

Third-party analyst targets: 12 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +11% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as roughly fairly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.

Price History & Projections
$127$87$47TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$121.29 +25%Street avg$115.73 +19%Our fair value$101.72 +4%Conservative$82.93 -15%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-09 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Coca-Cola Bottler Trips Ethical Screen First

Grab a can from the fridge in any European city and the odds are high it travelled through this bottler's network. The operation delivers steady nine per cent margins and twenty-three per cent returns on equity while the shares sit right on our fair value with no margin of safety.

Yet the ethical screen stops us cold. The non-alcoholic beverages category itself triggers an outright fail, so the narrow moat, flat revenue and eighteen-point-eight times forward earnings never get a proper look in.

Zero growth leaves little cushion if volumes soften, and the modest premium to fair value offers no reward for the category exclusion. Consensus targets sit only a touch higher and do not move the needle.

Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E18.2xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E20.1xa premium valuation
EPS, trailing5.16
EPS, forward5.70
Revenue growth+4.4%slow but positive growth
Profit margin9.3%thin but positive margins
Return on equity23.5%an exceptional return on shareholder capital
FCF yield3.46%
Dividend yield242.00%
Debt to equity1.39a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio0.89below 1: short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.48barely tracks the market's swings
Short interest, float0.07%
52-week range84.66 - 113.67
MoatNARROW
Market cap$45.8B
Employees37,003

The risks · The things to watch: its business and earnings are exposed to United Kingdom and to currency swings.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

CCEP trades on NASDAQ (the company is based in United Kingdom). As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-24 Markup $106.85 +1.6% Entry 5

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $106.

2026-07-24 Markup $105.18 +5.9% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $106.

2026-07-18 Markup $99.34 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 13%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $106.

2026-07-03 Markup $99.34 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $99.34 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on CCEP

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in CCEP's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $92.46 +5.3% $0.96 $1,064 +6.4%
2 months $96.40 +1.0% $0.96 $1,020 +2.0%
3 months $100.16 -2.8% $0.96 $982 -1.8%
6 months $88.19 +10.4% $0.96 $1,115 +11.5%
1 year $90.47 +7.6% $2.39 $1,103 +10.3%
2 years $70.42 +38.3% $4.63 $1,449 +44.9%
3 years $58.55 +66.3% $6.65 $1,777 +77.7%
5 years $52.82 +84.4% $10.71 $2,046 +104.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CCEP does next, these words stay.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc · CCEP · Distribution · $103.82
Recorded 2026-09-09 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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