The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
SPDR Gold Shares
GLD · NYSE ARCA · USD
The Trust holds gold bars and from time to time, issues Baskets in exchange for deposits of gold and distributes gold in connection with redemptions of Baskets.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 30.0Price as of 15 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-15 · the tape above runs as of 13:28 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price382.71 USD at the 15 Oct 2026 close
- Our ratingOvervalued, current read distribution
- Ethical screenPasses, score 30.0 out of 100
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.35)
- Last reviewed15 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 382.71 against the desk's fair-value range, over the last year.
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.35, read 2026-10-18
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
SPDR Gold Shares holds its Distribution at $382.71. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 20 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 20 days |
| Price at the screen | $382.71 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 30.0 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Shariah-screened instrument — compliant by design | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
SPDR Gold Shares clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its debt, cash, receivables and income are all inside the lines, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-10-20. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads OVERVALUED
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-15 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeGLD trades on NYSE ARCA. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 4.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 22%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 23%.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical pass with moderate score. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $434.65 | -13.8% | · | $862 | -13.8% |
| 2 months | $437.13 | -14.3% | · | $857 | -14.3% |
| 3 months | $466.88 | -19.8% | · | $802 | -19.8% |
| 6 months | $393.24 | -4.7% | · | $953 | -4.7% |
| 1 year | $306.71 | +22.2% | · | $1,222 | +22.2% |
| 2 years | $213.54 | +75.4% | · | $1,754 | +75.4% |
| 3 years | $182.04 | +105.8% | · | $2,058 | +105.8% |
| 5 years | $175.74 | +113.2% | · | $2,132 | +113.2% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GLD does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.