Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.13, read 2026-10-24
Ethical screen not yet scored
Price81.69 USD
Ethical score30.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-11Read Markdown84.03-2.8% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Markdown first Markdown read since August
2026-10-02Read Distribution84.03-2.8% to today ✓Accumulation gives way to Distribution after an 8% rise in 4 weeks
2026-09-05Read Accumulation77.93+4.8% to today ✓Markdown gives way to Accumulation with volume flow in agreement
2026-08-05Read Markdown77.93+4.8% to today Distribution gives way to Markdown
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
VanEck Agribusiness ETF holds its Markdown at $81.69. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 333 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-23
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 333 days
Price at the screen
$81.69
Valuation
20.02 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings
Values screen
Not scored· score 30.0
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
Excluded
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
Excluded
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit.
Fail
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
The Read, in Plain English
VanEck Agribusiness ETF clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads AVOID
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MOO trades on NYSE ARCA. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-25Markdown$81.97+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 1% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
2026-10-18Markdown$81.97-2.5%Entry 8
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
2026-10-11Markdown · changed$84.03+0.0%Entry 7
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 7.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
2026-08-05Markdown · changed$77.93+0.0%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
2026-07-18Distribution$77.93+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading oversold. Over the past year the shares are up 8%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 5%.
2026-07-03Distribution$77.93+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$77.93Entry 1
Our analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming MOO
Date
Politician
Party
Type
Amount
2026-09-17
Gil Cisneros
Democrat
buy
1K–15K
2026-09-17
Gil Cisneros
Democrat
buy
1K–15K
2026-08-07
Gil Cisneros
Democrat
buy
15K–50K
2026-08-07
Gil Cisneros
Democrat
buy
15K–50K
2026-08-07
Gil Cisneros
Democrat
buy
15K–50K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
Period
Price then
Price return
Divs per share
$1,000 became
Total return
1 month
$81.91
-5.3%
·
$947
-5.3%
2 months
$85.00
-8.8%
·
$912
-8.8%
3 months
$84.76
-8.5%
·
$915
-8.5%
6 months
$72.51
+7.0%
$1.80
$1,094
+9.4%
1 year
$71.53
+8.4%
$1.80
$1,109
+10.9%
2 years
$67.43
+15.0%
$4.00
$1,209
+20.9%
3 years
$73.38
+5.7%
$6.24
$1,142
+14.2%
5 years
$82.33
-5.8%
$9.20
$1,054
+5.4%
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Ledger's Promise
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever MOO does next, these words stay.
VanEck Agribusiness ETF · MOO · Markdown · $81.69
Recorded 2026-10-23 · before the outcome · scored mechanically