Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. holds its Distribution at $33.35. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 1 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 1 days
Price at the screen
$33.35
Valuation
11.74 trailing · 13.50 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.29
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
10.90%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 10.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
36.15%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 36.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 6.7% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +20% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Apparel maker sells above its real worth
Walk into any department store and the racks of outerwear and dresses tell a simple story. Brands fight for shelf space while shoppers trade down or buy less. G-III sits in that squeeze, with sales already down 8% and a profit margin stuck at just 4%. Our numbers put fair value at 31.12 against the current 35.42 price, so the stock offers no opportunity.
The business earns a modest 7% return on equity and trades on a forward multiple of 14.3 times. Those figures might look reasonable until you remember apparel is cyclical and tied to discretionary spending that can vanish in a slowdown. Ethical checks clear, yet the underlying numbers do not support paying up.
Revenue declines and thin returns leave little room for error when fashion tastes shift or input costs rise. The market may still price the shares for better days, but the current gap to fair value and the lack of growth make that optimism hard to justify. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
GIII trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-30Markdown · changed$33.35-5.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-31Markup$35.42+0.4%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-18Markup$35.28+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 15% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 55%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (3 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $33.
2026-07-03Markup$35.28+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$35.28Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
