GDS
GDS Holdings Limited
Technology · Information Technology Services · NGM
$41.72
Close 2026-05-19
✗ ETHICAL FAIL
WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$8.4B
Trailing P/E
64.18
Forward P/E
197.49
Rev Growth
+8.6%
Profit Margin
8.3%
ROE
3.7%
Analyst Target
$55.12
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
Ethical Screen
| Business Activity | PASS |
| Debt Ratio (5.68%) | FAIL |
| Cash Ratio (1.79%) | FAIL |
| Receivables Ratio (0.00%) | PASS |
| Revenue Ratio (0.00%) | PASS |
| Overall | FAIL |
Score Valuation: 16.5
Score Quality: 45.2
Score Combined: 35.9
Fair Value Est: $3.17 · Margin of Safety: -92.4% · Tier: AVOID
Opportunity Scores
Valuation0.0
Quality33.3
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet34.2
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance29.4
Tier: AVOID · Score: 18.1 · Rank: #5069
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
| Date | EPS Est. | Reported EPS | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | -0.34 | Pending | -- |
| 2026-05-20 | -0.28 | 8.65 | +3166.4% |
| 2026-03-17 | 12.32 | 5.88 | -52.2% |
| 2025-11-19 | -0.55 | 3.21 | +685.9% |
| 2025-08-20 | -0.65 | -0.46 | +29.1% |
| 2025-05-20 | -0.90 | 3.91 | +534.4% |
| 2025-03-19 | -1.15 | 22.51 | +2057.4% |
| 2024-11-19 | -1.13 | -1.12 | +1.2% |
Quarterly Financials
| Period | Revenue | Net Income | EBITDA | Gross Profit | Op. Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | $3.4B | $2.6B | $1.8B | $1.1B | $908.0M | 13.36 |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.9B | -$467.1M | -$109.6M | $612.4M | $394.2M | -2.48 |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.9B | $726.0M | $2.6B | $639.2M | $362.4M | 3.68 |
| 2025-06-30 | $2.9B | -$72.3M | $1.3B | $688.9M | $414.6M | -0.48 |
| 2025-03-31 | $2.7B | $763.0M | $2.3B | $644.8M | $365.2M | 3.92 |
| 2024-12-31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
| Holder | Shares | Value | % Held |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore Technologies Telemedia Pte Ltd | 9.8M | $344.4M | 0.1% |
| Sachem Head Capital Management, LP | 8.7M | $304.1M | 0.0% |
| Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 7.0M | $245.3M | 0.0% |
| Tekne Capital Management, LLC | 5.1M | $176.9M | 0.0% |
| BAMCO Inc. | 4.6M | $161.0M | 0.0% |
| BAUPOST GROUP LLC/MA | 3.0M | $106.6M | 0.0% |
| Barclays Plc | 3.0M | $104.8M | 0.0% |
| 12 West Capital Management Lp | 2.6M | $90.2M | 0.0% |
| Carrhae Capital LLP | 2.2M | $76.5M | 0.0% |
| Bank of America Corporation | 2.2M | $76.2M | 0.0% |
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
18 analysts
2 Months Ago
19 analysts
Last Month
21 analysts
Current
18 analysts
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$90.8B
$90.8B
Price/Book
1.63
1.63
Beta
0.454
0.454
Analysts
18
18
Total Revenue (TTM)
$12.1B
$12.1B
Total Debt
$47.2B
$47.2B
Earnings Growth
+207.0%
+207.0%
Rec. Mean
1.28
1.28
Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 35.9 (P34 — top 65.8% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 18 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $41.72 | Target: $55.12 (+32%) | Fair Value: $3.17 (+-92%)
Score
36
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+32%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+8.6%
Profit Margin8.3%
ROE3.7%
Forward P/E197.5
Market Cap$8.4B
Earnings Track Record
| Date | Estimate | Reported | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.34 | Pending | — |
| 2026-05-20 | $-0.28 | $8.65 | +3166.4% |
| 2026-03-17 | $12.32 | $5.88 | -52.2% |
| 2025-11-19 | $-0.55 | $3.21 | +685.9% |
| 2025-08-20 | $-0.65 | $-0.46 | +29.1% |
| 2025-05-20 | $-0.90 | $3.91 | +534.4% |
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $35.46 (-15%) | Entry: $41.72
| Shares | Cost | Profit to Target | R:R |
|---|---|---|---|
| To Consensus ($55.12, 18 analysts) | |||
| 10 | $417.20 | +$134.00 (32%) | 2.1R |
| 50 | $2,086.00 | +$670.00 (32%) | 2.1R |
| 100 | $4,172.00 | +$1,340.00 (32%) | 2.1R |
| To Fair Value ($3.17) | |||
| 10 | $417.20 | +$-385.50 (-92%) | -6.2R |
| 50 | $2,086.00 | +$-1,927.50 (-92%) | -6.2R |
| 100 | $4,172.00 | +$-3,855.00 (-92%) | -6.2R |
Risk Factors
- Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
GDS Holdings Limited holds a weak competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade
A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.
D
Quant Score
37.7
Risk Grade
—
Layers
8
Quality: CONSISTENT_BEATER
Risk Profile
How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.
VaR 95%
-6.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-10.5%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
—
Sortino Ratio
1.44
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-63.5%
Worst Day
—
Forward Outlook
Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.
30d Prob Up
—
90d Prob Up
—
Median Return 30d
—
Liquidity Score
67
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum
What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?
Kalman Trend
—
Trend Strength
—
Momentum Signal
—
HMM Regime
—
RSI Signal
—
Technical Signals
Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.
MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
BELOW_LOWER
Beta
—
Relative Volume
2.4x
Short Interest
—
Financial Health
Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.
Altman Z-Score
—
—
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
—
Earnings Beat Rate
87.5%
Earnings Consistency
—
Correlations
These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.
Most Correlated
| Ticker | Correlation |
|---|---|
| VNET | 0.632 |
| BABA | 0.498 |
| VWO | 0.490 |
| EEM | 0.463 |
| KC | 0.460 |
Inverse Correlated
| Ticker | Correlation |
|---|---|
| ASIC | -0.184 |
| ARX | -0.166 |
| SOOR.KW | -0.144 |
| BURG.KW | -0.140 |
| KYIVW | -0.140 |
Seasonality
Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.
Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.9062622772717694
Earnings Drift
After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.
Avg Drift After Beat
+3.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
50.0%
Consistency
—
Momentum Rankings
How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.
1M Return
-24.6%
3M Return
-26.2%
6M Return
+12.2%
12M Return
+20.7%
Momentum Rank
#3932
Momentum Signal
DOWN