FE
FirstEnergy
Utilities · Electric Utilities · US
$44.33
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$25.6B
Trailing P/E
24.10
Forward P/E
15.00
Rev Growth
+11.6%
Profit Margin
6.9%
ROE
9.5%
Analyst Target
$52.69
Recommendation
BUY
About FirstEnergy

FirstEnergy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, distribution, and transmission of electricity in the United States. It operates through Distribution, Integrated, and Stand-Alone Transmission segments. The company owns and operates coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric, wind, and solar power generating facilities. The company operates 252,959 distribution line miles and 24,157 transmission line miles, including overhead pole line and underground conduit carrying primary, secondary, and street lighting circuits. The company serves customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York. FirstEnergy Corp. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $44 against a fair value of $59, a 25% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 14% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.48%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.02%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 73.0
Score Quality: 38.0
Score Combined: 40.2
Fair Value Est: $59.00 · Margin of Safety: +33.1% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation95.1
Quality36.0
Cash Flow0.0
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet22.2
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity96.5
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance57.8
Tier: SILVER · Score: 64.5 · Rank: #383
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-290.59Pending--
2026-04-280.720.72+0.6%
2026-02-170.530.53-0.9%
2025-10-220.800.76-5.0%
2025-07-300.490.52+6.9%
2025-04-230.590.67+13.1%
2025-02-260.690.67-2.8%
2024-10-290.900.85-6.0%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$4.2B$405.0M$1.3B$2.6B$828.0M0.70
2025-12-31$3.8B-$49.0M$2.4B$603.0M
2025-09-30$4.1B$441.0M$2.6B$830.0M0.76
2025-06-30$3.4B$268.0M$2.3B$547.0M0.46
2025-03-31$3.8B$360.0M$2.5B$754.0M0.62
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-04-01SOMERHALDER JOHN W IIDirector837$42.5K
2026-03-11O'NEIL JAMES FRANCIS IIIDirector7,945$402.0K
2026-03-10TAYLOR K JONOfficer26,800$1.4M
2026-03-06LISOWSKI JASONOfficer4,372$222.3K
2026-03-02LISOWSKI JASONOfficer7,402--
2026-02-27PARK HYUNOfficer38,656--
2026-02-27TAYLOR K JONOfficer66,927--
2026-02-27THOMAS TOBY L.Chief Operating Officer24,155--
2026-02-27SMITH ALLAN WADEOfficer34,213--
2026-02-27TIERNEY BRIAN XChief Executive Officer229,580--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Capital World Investors77.7M$3.6B0.1%
Blackrock Inc.49.0M$2.3B0.1%
State Street Corporation40.6M$1.9B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC34.7M$1.6B0.1%
Blackstone Inc28.8M$1.3B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC28.3M$1.3B0.0%
Boston Partners17.6M$815.6M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC13.8M$637.9M0.0%
Invesco Ltd.12.0M$554.7M0.0%
Morgan Stanley11.0M$510.4M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
5
9
17 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
5
8
16 analysts
Last Month
3
5
8
16 analysts
Current
4
5
8
17 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$56.2B
Price/Book
2.12
Beta
0.472
Analysts
13
Total Revenue (TTM)
$15.3B
Total Debt
$28.1B
Earnings Growth
+12.9%
Dividend Yield
420.0%
Rec. Mean
2.18
Short Ratio
5.42
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
11,186

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 40.2 (P44 — top 55.6% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical FAIL. 13 analysts at Buy.
Price: $44.33 | Target: $52.23 (+18%) | Fair Value: $59.00 (+33%)
Score
40
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+18%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+11.6%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE9.5%
Forward P/E15.0
Market Cap$25.6B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-29$0.59Pending
2026-04-28$0.72$0.72+0.6%
2026-02-17$0.53$0.53-0.9%
2025-10-22$0.80$0.76-5.0%
2025-07-30$0.49$0.52+6.9%
2025-04-23$0.59$0.67+13.1%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $37.68 (-15%) | Entry: $44.33
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($52.23, 13 analysts)
10$443.30+$79.00 (18%)1.2R
50$2,216.50+$395.00 (18%)1.2R
100$4,433.00+$790.00 (18%)1.2R
To Fair Value ($59.00)
10$443.30+$146.70 (33%)2.2R
50$2,216.50+$733.50 (33%)2.2R
100$4,433.00+$1,467.00 (33%)2.2R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (5.42 days to cover)
The Verdict
FirstEnergy holds a narrow competitive moat and trades at a 33.1% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
49.7
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: STRONG_EARNINGS_DRIFT
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.7%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-2.6%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.87
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-14.7%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.5x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
PPL0.704
EXC0.677
CMS0.667
DUK0.650
SO0.639
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
PRN.L-0.232
NTSK-0.202
ATT.L-0.180
BNH.BH-0.172
ENR.DE-0.165
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Jul
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.16744435684348455
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+3.5%
Beat Drift Positive %
100.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-4.6%
3M Return
-7.0%
6M Return
+2.1%
12M Return
+15.6%
Momentum Rank
#3006
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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