Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-27 · Permanent

Eversource Energy logoEversource Energy ES

Outside both standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Eversource Energy, a public utility holding company, engages in the energy delivery business.

The label
Markup

read at $74.69

Eversource Energy holds its Markup at $74.69.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-27
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 107 days
Price$74.69
Valuation15.99 trailing · 15.25 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.71

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads AVOID — it trades above our $73.21 fair value estimate, 9.40% revenue growth.

Read at
$74.69
15.99 P/E · 15.25 fwd
Our fair value
$73.21
2% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$75.00
+0% to current
Target low $52.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $85.00
▲ current $74.69 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$87.5$69.3$51.1TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst high$85.00 +23%Analyst avg$75.00 +8%Our fair value$73.21 +6%Conservative$53.57 -23%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$74.69
you are here
Conservative
$53.57
-28%
Analyst avg
$75.00
+0%
Our fair value
$73.21
-2%
Analyst high
$85.00
+14%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Our model and the Street both land near today's price — fairly valued, with no strong edge either way.

Revenue growth9.40%
Profit margin12.55%
Debt to equity181.82
Analyst consensusHold · 12 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 47.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.5% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 3.1% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Lights stay on but debt keeps growing

Eversource keeps the lights on for millions across New England, the sort of steady utility most investors treat as boring and safe. We pass, because the shares trade above our fair value with a negative margin of safety and the business fails our ethical screen on its debt ratio.

Revenue is rising 9 percent, profit margins sit at 13 percent and return on equity reaches 11 percent, yet the forward multiple of 15.2 times offers little cushion. Twelve analysts cluster around a hold rating with a median target almost exactly at the current price.

Heavy borrowing leaves scant room if rates stay high or regulators cap returns. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E15.2x
priced for continued growth
Trailing P/E16.0x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth9.4%
steady growth
Profit margin12.5%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity10.9%
a modest return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity1.82
a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio0.65
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.71
steadier than the market
Market cap$28.1B
Employees10,731

The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Latest news · what the market is reading on ES

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference — not our reporting, not advice.

Related securities · others in ES's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

ES trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $72. Entered 2026-07-27 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-27 Markup $74.62 +5.7% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $72.

2026-07-18 Markup $70.60 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 10%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (12 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $72.

2026-07-03 Markup $70.60 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $70.60 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · ES
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-08 MUDGE WARREN ROBERT Trustee 750 $49,864
2026-03-06 NOLAN JOSEPH R JR Chief Executive Officer 94,981 ·
2026-03-04 CONNER PENELOPE M Officer 1,400 $105,000
2026-02-24 CLEVELAND COTTON MATHER Trustee 2,581 $193,239
2026-02-23 KIM JOHN Y Trustee 12,339 $913,522
2026-02-19 MOREIRA JOHN M. Chief Financial Officer 7,800 $576,420
2026-02-19 KIM JOHN Y Trustee 6,000 $441,420
2026-02-19 KIM JOHN Y Trustee 3,339 ·
2026-02-18 FORRY LINDA DORCENA Trustee 2,581 $188,559
2026-02-17 WILLIAMS FREDERICA M Trustee 2,581 $189,239

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming ES
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
9 Apr2026 Josh Gottheimer Democrat sell 15K–50K
9 Apr2026 Josh Gottheimer Democrat sell 1K–15K
9 Apr2026 Scott Peters Democrat buy 50K–100K
9 Apr2026 Scott Peters Democrat sell 500K–1M
8 May2026 Rick Allen Republican buy 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $66.45 +4.1% $0.79 $1,053 +5.3%
2 months $69.15 +0.0% $0.79 $1,012 +1.2%
3 months $72.35 -4.4% $0.79 $967 -3.3%
6 months $65.28 +6.0% $2.33 $1,095 +9.5%
1 year $63.00 +9.8% $3.08 $1,147 +14.7%
2 years $53.84 +28.5% $6.02 $1,396 +39.6%
3 years $61.33 +12.8% $8.80 $1,271 +27.1%
5 years $67.86 +1.9% $13.91 $1,224 +22.4%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ES does next, these words stay.

Eversource Energy · ES · Markup · $74.69
Recorded 2026-07-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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