DOW
Dow Inc.
Materials · Commodity Chemicals · US
$36.87
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$26.6B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
17.80
Rev Growth
-6.1%
Profit Margin
-7.2%
ROE
-15.3%
Analyst Target
$43.06
Recommendation
BUY
About Dow Inc.

Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment provides ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, and aromatics products; and other ethylene derivatives, such as polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber. The Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment offers polyurethanes, including propylene oxide, propylene glycol, and polyether polyols; aromatic isocyanates and fully formulated polyurethane systems; and chlor-alkali and vinyl comprising chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride, and vinyl chloride monomer; and construction chemicals consisting of cellulose ethers, redispersible latex powders, and acrylic emulsions, as well as coatings, adhesives, sealants, elastomers, and composites. The Performance Materials & Coatings segment provides architectural paints and coatings, and industrial coatings; and acrylics-based building blocks, silicon metals, siloxanes, and intermediates. The company also engages in the property and casualty insurance, as well as reinsurance business. The company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Midland, Michigan.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $37 against a fair value of $41, a 10% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 0% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.33%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.07%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.15%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 67.0
Score Quality: 20.0
Score Combined: 34.2
Fair Value Est: $41.00 · Margin of Safety: +11.2% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation85.0
Quality0.0
Cash Flow0.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet57.8
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity77.8
Rev Purity92.4
Compliance50.1
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 47.6 · Rank: #2475
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-231.19Pending--
2026-04-23-0.29-0.14+51.7%
2026-01-29-0.51-0.34+33.7%
2025-10-23-0.30-0.19+36.8%
2025-07-24-0.16-0.42-156.3%
2025-04-24-0.010.02+249.8%
2025-01-300.24Pending--
2024-10-240.460.30-34.6%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$9.8B-$533.0M$548.0M$640.0M-$4.0M-0.74
2025-12-31$9.5B-$1.5B-$621.0M$548.0M-$10.0M-2.15
2025-09-30$10.0B$62.0M$979.0M$731.0M$154.0M0.08
2025-06-30$10.1B-$835.0M$274.0M$583.0M-$15.0M-1.18
2025-03-31$10.4B-$307.0M$556.0M$671.0M$29.0M-0.44
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-04-09FETTIG JEFFREY MDirector5,127--
2026-04-09HINMAN JACQUELINE C.Director5,127--
2026-04-09WYANT JILL SDirector5,127--
2026-04-09BUSH WESLEY GDirector5,127--
2026-04-09ALLEN SAMUEL RDirector5,127--
2026-04-09DEVARD JERRI LDirector5,127--
2026-04-09YOHANNES DANIELDirector5,127--
2026-04-09DAVIS RICHARD KDirector5,127--
2026-04-09BANISTER GAURDIE E JR.Director5,127--
2026-04-09DIAL DEBRA LDirector5,127--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.53.3M$1.9B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC46.2M$1.7B0.1%
State Street Corporation35.1M$1.3B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC32.8M$1.2B0.0%
Pzena Investment Management LLC18.9M$682.3M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC18.8M$676.2M0.0%
Morgan Stanley14.0M$503.3M0.0%
AQR Capital Management, LLC10.3M$371.5M0.0%
Invesco Ltd.9.6M$346.9M0.0%
Capital Research Global Investors9.1M$329.4M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
4
10
18 analysts
2 Months Ago
2
4
12
18 analysts
Last Month
1
2
15
19 analysts
Current
3
5
9
18 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$42.8B
Price/Book
1.70
Beta
0.454
Analysts
16
Total Revenue (TTM)
$39.3B
Total Debt
$19.6B
Dividend Yield
380.0%
Rec. Mean
2.33
Short Ratio
1.65
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
34,600

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 34.2 (P28 — top 71.9% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 16 analysts at Buy.
Price: $36.87 | Target: $43.06 (+17%) | Fair Value: $41.00 (+11%)
Score
34
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+17%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth-6.1%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE-15.3%
Forward P/E17.8
Market Cap$26.6B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-23$1.19Pending
2026-04-23$-0.29$-0.14+51.7%
2026-01-29$-0.51$-0.34+33.7%
2025-10-23$-0.30$-0.19+36.8%
2025-07-24$-0.16$-0.42-156.3%
2025-04-24$-0.01$0.02+249.8%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $31.34 (-15%) | Entry: $36.87
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($43.06, 16 analysts)
10$368.70+$61.90 (17%)1.1R
50$1,843.50+$309.50 (17%)1.1R
100$3,687.00+$619.00 (17%)1.1R
To Fair Value ($41.00)
10$368.70+$41.30 (11%)0.7R
50$1,843.50+$206.50 (11%)0.7R
100$3,687.00+$413.00 (11%)0.7R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Dow Inc. holds a weak competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
47.2
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-4.0%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-6.6%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.58
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-61.1%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_LOWER
Beta
Relative Volume
0.7x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
LYB0.890
OLN0.739
HUN0.706
CE0.663
EMN0.624
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
AERO-0.317
LBRX-0.198
RKT.L-0.193
SUKOON.AE-0.175
QAMC.QA-0.162
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Tuesday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Mar
Worst Month
May
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.04453904823837518
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-2.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
25.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-8.7%
3M Return
+15.0%
6M Return
+72.9%
12M Return
+31.4%
Momentum Rank
#919
Momentum Signal
UP

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