DG
Dollar General
Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail · US
$113.29
Close 2026-01-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$24.9B
Trailing P/E
16.50
Forward P/E
14.20
Rev Growth
+5.9%
Profit Margin
3.5%
ROE
19.0%
Analyst Target
$146.25
Recommendation
BUY
About Dollar General

Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. It offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. The company also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies; home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $113 against a fair value of $160, a 29% discount. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 63% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.51%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.04%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 88.0
Score Quality: 49.0
Score Combined: 46.8
Fair Value Est: $160.00 · Margin of Safety: +41.2% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality51.3
Cash Flow100.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet28.3
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance58.8
Tier: GOLD · Score: 76.4 · Rank: #138
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-06-021.49Pending--
2026-03-121.641.93+17.9%
2025-12-040.931.28+38.3%
2025-08-281.571.86+18.2%
2025-06-031.481.78+19.9%
2025-03-131.501.68+11.6%
2024-12-050.940.89-5.1%
2024-08-291.791.70-5.0%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-01-31$10.9B$426.3M$868.1M$3.3B$606.3M1.94
2025-10-31$10.6B$282.7M$692.2M$3.2B$425.9M1.28
2025-07-31$10.7B$411.4M$852.2M$3.4B$595.4M1.87
2025-04-30$10.4B$391.9M$828.9M$3.2B$576.1M1.78
2025-01-31$10.3B$191.2M$547.8M$3.0B$294.2M0.87
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-03-26ELLIOTT ANITA COfficer3,523--
2026-03-26VASOS TODD JOSEPHChief Executive Officer40,260--
2026-03-26TAYLOR RHONDA MGeneral Counsel6,710--
2026-03-26TAYLOR EMILY CChief Operating Officer12,581--
2026-03-26WEST RODERICK JOfficer8,388--
2026-03-26HERRMANN TRACEY NOfficer6,710--
2026-03-26LAU DONNY H.Chief Financial Officer10,065--
2026-03-26WHEELER BRYAN DOfficer5,704--
2026-03-26WENKOFF CARMAN RChief Technology Officer6,710--
2026-03-26REARDON KATHLEEN AOfficer6,710--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.25.4M$2.7B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC14.3M$1.5B0.1%
State Street Corporation11.2M$1.2B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC10.9M$1.2B0.0%
Pzena Investment Management LLC6.9M$728.7M0.0%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO5.9M$623.2M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC5.8M$617.3M0.0%
AQR Capital Management, LLC5.2M$545.7M0.0%
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC4.5M$470.7M0.0%
Morgan Stanley4.3M$456.4M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
10
16
30 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
10
17
31 analysts
Last Month
3
10
16
31 analysts
Current
4
9
16
30 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$37.8B
Price/Book
2.73
Beta
0.282
Analysts
28
Total Revenue (TTM)
$42.7B
Total Debt
$15.7B
Earnings Growth
+121.9%
Dividend Yield
208.0%
Rec. Mean
2.33
Short Ratio
2.77
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
194,000

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 46.8 (P66 — top 33.9% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 28 analysts at Buy.
Price: $113.29 | Target: $141.86 (+25%) | Fair Value: $160.00 (+41%)
Score
47
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+25%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+5.9%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE19.0%
Forward P/E14.2
Market Cap$24.9B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-06-02$1.49Pending
2026-03-12$1.64$1.93+17.9%
2025-12-04$0.93$1.28+38.3%
2025-08-28$1.57$1.86+18.2%
2025-06-03$1.48$1.78+19.9%
2025-03-13$1.50$1.68+11.6%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $96.30 (-15%) | Entry: $113.29
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($141.86, 28 analysts)
10$1,132.90+$285.70 (25%)1.7R
50$5,664.50+$1,428.50 (25%)1.7R
100$11,329.00+$2,857.00 (25%)1.7R
To Fair Value ($160.00)
10$1,132.90+$467.10 (41%)2.7R
50$5,664.50+$2,335.50 (41%)2.7R
100$11,329.00+$4,671.00 (41%)2.7R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
Dollar General holds a weak competitive moat and trades at a 41.2% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
43.1
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-3.4%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-6.1%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
-0.32
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-51.0%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
85
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
DEATH_CROSS
Bollinger Position
LOWER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.6x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
75.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Friday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Dec
Worst Month
Aug
Fri-Mon Effect
0.09159302157640398
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+0.6%
Beat Drift Positive %
66.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-14.2%
3M Return
-32.4%
6M Return
+4.2%
12M Return
+5.0%
Momentum Rank
#3977
Momentum Signal
DOWN

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