DAN · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $3.2B · 26,900 employees
Dana Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
30.08 USD
At the last full screen 2026-08-26
Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Dana Incorporated holds its Accumulation at $30.08. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 17 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-26
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 17 days
Price at the screen
$30.08
Valuation
N/A trailing · 7.39 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.99
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
45.06%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 45.1% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
18.65%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 18.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.13%
Below 5%
Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 35.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +26% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Auto parts firm looks cheap for a reason
Every time a new pickup rolls off a Detroit line or a European van hits the road, Dana supplies the axles and driveshafts that keep the power moving. The shares trade at just 7.2 times forward earnings with a 15 percent profit margin and 5 percent revenue growth, yet the opportunity rating sits at none. A negative 3 percent return on equity already tells you the current numbers are not translating into real returns for owners.
The market is offering a 53 percent gap to a $40.70 fair value and analysts still lean buy, but this is classic cyclical value-trap territory. Peak-cycle earnings can produce a low multiple that looks attractive until volumes turn, leaving the same low multiple sitting on much lower profits. Without a clear moat the business remains exposed to the next downturn in vehicle production.
Currency swings, raw-material costs and the shift toward electric platforms add further pressure that a simple multiple does not capture. The ethical screen is clear, yet the financial setup does not pass our bar.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
DAN trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 35% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 109%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $42.
2026-07-26Distribution$26.56-13.8%Entry 4
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 13.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 35% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 109%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $42.
2026-07-18Distribution$30.81+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 35% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 109%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 38%. The street (7 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $42.
2026-07-03Distribution$30.81+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$30.81Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
