Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-30 · Permanent

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · The Clorox Company manufactures and markets consumer and professional products worldwide.

The label
Markup

read at $96.73

Clorox holds its Markup at $96.73.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · does not pass the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-30
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 16 days
Price$96.73
Valuation15.73 trailing · 16.25 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 10.0
Beta0.53

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads AVOID — it trades above our $75.29 fair value estimate, moderate competitive moat, 0.10% revenue growth.

Read at
$96.73
15.73 P/E · 16.25 fwd
Our fair value
$75.29
22% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$97.00
+0% to current
Target low $77.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $155.00
▲ current $96.73 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$162$112$62TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst high$155.00 +55%Analyst avg$97.00 -3%Our fair value$75.29 -25%Conservative$69.30 -31%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$96.73
you are here
Conservative
$69.30
-28%
Analyst avg
$97.00
+0%
Our fair value
$75.29
-22%
Analyst high
$155.00
+60%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.

Revenue growth0.10%
Profit margin11.18%
Debt to equity4,876.09
Analyst consensusHold · 17 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company is excluded by both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. It fails on both:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✗ DOES NOT PASS
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✗ DOES NOT PASS

Why it fails. The problem is its debt ratio. Because both standards agree on this, it is a clear exclusion, not a borderline case.

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is 51.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 17.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.1% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Bleach Giant Trades Well Above Fair Value

Every time a shopper reaches for bleach or wipes in the supermarket aisle, Clorox products sit on the shelf. We pass because the shares trade at a 22% premium to fair value, revenue shows zero growth, and the business fails our ethical screen on its debt ratio.

A 16 times forward earnings multiple on a moderate moat business with an 11% profit margin leaves little room for error. The sky-high ROE looks impressive on paper yet does little to offset stagnant top-line trends and a hold rating from the analyst pack.

Risk centres on that same debt burden plus the chance that everyday household brands lose pricing power in a crowded market. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E16.2x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E15.7x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth0.1%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin11.2%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity546.1%
an exceptional return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity48.76
heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio0.84
below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets
Beta0.53
steadier than the market
Market cap$11.7B
Employees7,600

The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in CLX's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

CLX trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (17 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $105. Entered 2026-07-25 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-25 Markup · changed $96.32 +2.3% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 2.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (17 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $105.

2026-07-18 Distribution $94.14 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are down 18%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 10%. The street (17 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $105.

2026-07-03 Distribution $94.14 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Distribution $94.14 Entry 1

The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · CLX
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-05 BREBER PIERRE R. Director 5,000 $429,124
2025-11-21 BREBER PIERRE R. Director 4,000 $416,516
2025-10-03 HILT ANGELA CHRISTINE Officer 8,672 $1,060,152
2025-10-03 PECK LAURENE E Officer 1,418 $173,350
2025-10-03 HYDER CHRIS T Officer 6,812 $832,767
2025-10-03 BELLET LUC Chief Financial Officer 2,581 $315,527
2025-10-03 GRIER STACEY Officer 9,913 $1,211,864
2025-10-03 REYNOLDS ERIC H Chief Operating Officer 15,489 $1,893,530
2025-10-03 RENDLE LINDA J Chief Executive Officer 43,370 $5,301,982
2025-10-03 MARRINER KIRSTEN Officer 9,293 $1,136,069

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming CLX
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
1 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $88.90 +12.3% · $1,123 +12.3%
2 months $103.97 -4.0% $1.24 $972 -2.8%
3 months $107.38 -7.0% $1.24 $942 -5.8%
6 months $100.44 -0.6% $2.48 $1,019 +1.9%
1 year $121.42 -17.8% $4.96 $863 -13.7%
2 years $122.01 -18.2% $9.84 $899 -10.1%
3 years $140.26 -28.8% $14.64 $816 -18.4%
5 years $148.57 -32.8% $24.00 $834 -16.6%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever CLX does next, these words stay.

Clorox · CLX · Markup · $96.73
Recorded 2026-07-30 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

Get our weekly market brief free.