NAS10029,644+0.67%S&P7,651+0.17%GOLD$4,416+0.37%BTC$81,118+6.17%VIX14.81−4.08%live tape · as of 09:00 UTC
The Screen · Communication Services
Baidu, Inc.
BIDU · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $31.4B
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
92.55 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-08
Screened 2026-09-08 · the tape above runs as of 09:00 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Baidu, Inc. holds its Markdown at $92.55. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-08
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 4 days
Price at the screen
$92.55
Valuation
N/A trailing · 11.97 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL
Beta
0.57
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
210.82%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 210.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
250.33%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing cash and securities are 250.3% of assets, above the one-third limit.
Fail
Receivables
0.00%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 0.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 22% discount to our $113.07 fair value, weak competitive moat.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-08 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 22.2% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 32 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +69% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-08 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Baidu stumbles despite the analyst love
Baidu runs the search engine that still shapes daily life for hundreds of millions in China. Yet the business is shrinking, with revenue down 1 percent and profit margins squeezed to just 1 percent. A weak moat and zero return on equity tell the real story behind the $107 share price.
We pass because the ethical screen flags excessive debt, and the numbers back that caution. Forward earnings sit at 12.4 times, but growth has vanished and returns have collapsed. Analysts may cluster around a $177 target, yet the margin of safety to our $127 fair value does not outweigh the structural weaknesses.
The low multiple looks tempting only until peak earnings and leverage turn it into a trap. Currency swings and regulatory risk add further pressure that cheap valuation alone cannot offset. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
BIDU trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 14.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (33 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $180.
2026-07-23Markup$107.24-11.9%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 11.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (33 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $180.
2026-07-18Markup$121.66+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 35%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (33 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $180.
2026-07-03Markup$121.66+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$121.66Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
