The Screen · Communication Services · Entertainment
Live Nation Entertainment
LYV · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $41.9B · 17,700 employees
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
180.22 USD
At the last full screen 2026-07-19
Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markup label.
Live Nation Entertainment holds its Markup at $180.22. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 8 days
Price at the screen
$180.22
Valuation
N/A trailing · 83.07 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
1.11
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
45.41%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 45.4% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
2.25%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 2.3% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
39.73%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 39.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.60%
Below 5%
Only 0.6% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads AVOID: it trades above our $112.94 fair value estimate, weak competitive moat, 12.20% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 37.3% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 23 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +5% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Crowds Pack Arenas But Numbers Tell Another Story
Picture a packed stadium roaring for the headliner. The energy feels unstoppable, yet Live Nation trades at 83 times forward earnings with zero profit margins and a weak moat. We pass because the price sits 37 percent above our fair value while the business fails our ethical screen on debt levels.
Revenue grows at 12 percent but that expansion brings no bottom-line improvement and returns on equity stay modest at 15 percent. Analysts still push a buy rating with a 190 dollar median target, yet the valuation leaves no margin for the thin margins and heavy leverage already in place.
Entertainment spending can swing hard with recessions and touring cycles, so peak earnings often mask the real durability. Debt remains the clearest red flag on the ethical check. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
LYV trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-07-18Markup$160.07+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 9% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 17%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (23 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $185.
2026-07-03Markup$160.07+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$160.07Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
