LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
Communication Services · Movies & Entertainment · US
$163.28
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$38.0B
Trailing P/E
Forward P/E
75.40
Rev Growth
+12.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
ROE
14.9%
Analyst Target
$184.78
Recommendation
BUY
About Live Nation Entertainment

Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. operates as a live entertainment company worldwide. The company operates through Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising segments. Its Concerts segment promotes live music events in its owned or operated venues, and in rented third-party venues. This segment operates and manages music venues; produces music festivals; creates associated content; and offers management and other services to artists. The Ticketing segment manages the ticketing operations, including the provision of ticketing software and services to consumers with marketplace for tickets and event information through mobile apps, other websites, and retail outlets, as well as its websites, such as livenation.com and ticketmaster.com; and provides ticket resale services. This segment offers ticketing services for arenas, stadiums, amphitheaters, music clubs, concert promoters, professional sports franchises and leagues, college sports teams, performing arts venues, museums, and theaters. Its Sponsorship & Advertising segment sells international, national, and local sponsorships and placement of advertising, including signage, online advertising, and promotional programs; rich media offering, including advertising related with live streaming and music-related content; and ads through distribution network of venues, events, and websites. This segment also manages the development of strategic sponsorship programs, as well as develops, books, and produces custom events or programs for specific brands. It owns, operates, or leases entertainment venues. The company was formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. and changed its name to Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. in January 2010. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $163, 280% above fair value of $43. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 2% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.45%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.02%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.40%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.01%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 16.5
Score Quality: 46.0
Score Combined: 28.1
Fair Value Est: $43.00 · Margin of Safety: -73.7% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation15.0
Quality49.5
Cash Flow70.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet0.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity93.2
Rev Purity88.1
Compliance53.3
Tier: WATCH · Score: 25.9 · Rank: #5028
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-060.56Pending--
2026-05-05-0.320.19+158.6%
2026-02-19-1.05-1.06-1.2%
2025-11-041.490.73-51.1%
2025-08-071.020.41-59.8%
2025-05-01-0.16-0.32-100.0%
2025-02-20-1.051.39+232.4%
2024-11-111.671.89+13.1%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$3.8B-$389.1M-$152.3M$1.3B-$376.5M-1.85
2025-12-31$6.3B-$202.1M$62.5M-$143.3M
2025-09-30$8.5B$431.5M$975.7M$777.6M0.74
2025-06-30$7.0B$243.4M$651.5M$485.8M0.41
2025-03-31$3.4B$23.2M$295.8M$112.6M-0.32
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-08ROWLES MICHAEL GGeneral Counsel63,776$1.9M
2026-05-08ROWLES MICHAEL GGeneral Counsel63,776$10.5M
2026-05-07HOPMANS JOHNOfficer83,480$2.4M
2026-05-07HOPMANS JOHNOfficer93,078$15.5M
2026-03-12CAPO BRIANOfficer3,042--
2026-03-12RAPINO MICHAEL JAMESChief Executive Officer61,895--
2026-03-10HINSON JEFFREY TDirector944$156.6K
2026-03-10HINSON JEFFREY TDirector750--
2026-01-20KAHAN JAMES SAMUELDirector4,000--
2025-12-15BERCHTOLD JOSEPHPresident134,881$2.6M
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.13.5M$2.2B0.1%
State Street Corporation12.7M$2.1B0.1%
Principal Financial Group, Inc.11.1M$1.8B0.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC10.5M$1.7B0.0%
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board8.8M$1.5B0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC8.4M$1.4B0.0%
FMR, LLC7.9M$1.3B0.0%
Capital International Investors7.1M$1.2B0.0%
Bank of America Corporation6.6M$1.1B0.0%
Independent Franchise Partners, LLP5.9M$970.9M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
3
17
3
24 analysts
2 Months Ago
3
17
2
24 analysts
Last Month
2
17
3
23 analysts
Current
3
17
3
24 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$41.6B
Price/Book
-274.09
Beta
1.113
Analysts
23
Total Revenue (TTM)
$25.6B
Total Debt
$10.6B
Rec. Mean
1.54
Short Ratio
7.43
Short % Float
0.1%
Employees
17,700

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 28.1 (P10 — top 89.9% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 23 analysts at Buy.
Price: $163.28 | Target: $184.78 (+13%) | Fair Value: $43.00 (+-74%)
Score
28
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+13%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+12.2%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE14.9%
Forward P/E75.4
Market Cap$38.0B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$0.56Pending
2026-05-05$-0.32$0.19+158.6%
2026-02-19$-1.05$-1.06-1.2%
2025-11-04$1.49$0.73-51.1%
2025-08-07$1.02$0.41-59.8%
2025-05-01$-0.16$-0.32-100.0%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $138.79 (-15%) | Entry: $163.28
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($184.78, 23 analysts)
10$1,632.80+$215.00 (13%)0.9R
50$8,164.00+$1,075.00 (13%)0.9R
100$16,328.00+$2,150.00 (13%)0.9R
To Fair Value ($43.00)
10$1,632.80+$-1,202.80 (-74%)-4.9R
50$8,164.00+$-6,014.00 (-74%)-4.9R
100$16,328.00+$-12,028.00 (-74%)-4.9R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (7.43 days to cover)
  • Valuation stretched on forward earnings
The Verdict
Live Nation Entertainment holds a weak competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
59.7
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.9%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
1.31
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-27.8%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
80
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Thursday
Best Month
Jan
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.2959331258409007
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-3.1%
Beat Drift Positive %
66.7%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+6.3%
3M Return
+5.4%
6M Return
+29.1%
12M Return
+15.3%
Momentum Rank
#1350
Momentum Signal
UP

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