The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 12.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
ADMA Biologics, Inc.
ADMA · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $2.1B · 640 employees
ADMA Biologics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and markets specialty plasma-derived biologics for the treatment of immune deficiencies and infectious diseases in the United States and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
ADMA Biologics, Inc. holds its Markdown at $9.48. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 62 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 62 days |
| Price at the screen | $9.48 |
| Valuation | 13.54 trailing · 9.65 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.77 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 12.80% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 12.8% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 39.42% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 39.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.37% | Below 5% | Only 0.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 100.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +79% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsPlasma treatments for immune gaps at half price
When the body cannot fight infections on its own, plasma-derived antibodies become the difference between hospital stays and normal life. ADMA Biologics makes those treatments and has scaled output to meet rising demand. The shares sit at $8.71 against a fair value of $17.42, a margin that reflects real cash generation rather than hope.
Revenue is rising 16 percent, the firm converts one third of sales into profit, and it earns 43 percent on equity. Forward earnings sit at just 8.8 times while five analysts see the same path to roughly double the current price. The ethical screen raises no flags, which keeps the name on the list despite an unknown moat.
Biotech output can still swing with plasma supply, regulatory checks, and competition that is hard to forecast. Low multiples on cyclical or execution-heavy businesses often signal peak earnings rather than bargains. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 9.6xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 13.5xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 0.70 |
| EPS, forward | 0.98 |
| Revenue growth | +15.9%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 33.0%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 41.9%an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.58% |
| Debt to equity | 1.11a meaningful debt load worth watching |
| Current ratio | 6.97comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.77steadier than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.12% |
| 52-week range | 7.21 - 20.46 |
| Market cap | $2.1B |
| Employees | 640 |
The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeADMA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 6.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are down 59%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 27%. The street (4 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $17.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $7.88 | +8.7% | · | $1,087 | +8.7% |
| 2 months | $9.70 | -11.7% | · | $883 | -11.7% |
| 3 months | $14.99 | -42.9% | · | $571 | -42.9% |
| 6 months | $20.38 | -58.0% | · | $420 | -58.0% |
| 1 year | $20.86 | -58.9% | · | $411 | -58.9% |
| 2 years | $10.48 | -18.3% | · | $817 | -18.3% |
| 3 years | $3.82 | +124.2% | · | $2,242 | +124.2% |
| 5 years | $1.82 | +370.6% | · | $4,706 | +370.6% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ADMA does next, these words stay.
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