The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved up 2.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
GlobalFoundries
GFS · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $25.6B · 14,000 employees
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 89.6Price as of 3 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-03 · the tape above runs as of 18:06 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price42.89 USD at the 3 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Our regime readDistribution, as of 3 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenPasses, score 89.6 out of 100
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 9.53)
- Last reviewed3 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $43.20 to $53.60, base estimate $46.61 (screen dated 2026-11-03).
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders sold, $15,199, latest filing 2026-10-29
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 9.53, read 2026-11-03
- Ethical passes the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its distribution label.
GlobalFoundries holds its Distribution at $42.89. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 39 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 39 days |
| Price at the screen | $42.89 |
| Valuation | 35.82 trailing · 17.44 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 89.6 |
| Beta | 1.77 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 9.96% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 10.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 10.55% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 10.6% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 0.69% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 0.7% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.97% | Below 5% | Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Clears, in Plain English
GlobalFoundries clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 10%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Read as at 2026-11-04. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 3 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly an 8% discount to our $46.61 fair value, 5.80% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-03 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 8.0% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 22 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +66% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $46.61, with a range of $43.20 to $53.60, dated to the 2026-11-03 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsChip Foundry Price Exceeds Fair Value
Every new phone and electric car still needs chips made somewhere, yet this foundry’s modest 3 percent revenue growth sits behind a 22.8 times forward multiple. Our fair value sits 12 percent lower than the current price, so the shares offer no margin of safety. We pass.
Profit margins of 11 percent and a 7 percent return on equity look ordinary in a business that rises and falls with every tech cycle. Low multiples in cyclical sectors often flag peak earnings rather than bargains, and here the multiple is not low. Analyst targets near 80 dollars overlook that pattern.
Capacity utilisation can fall fast when orders slow, and the sector has delivered painful drawdowns before. The ethical screen is clear but the valuation is not.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 17.4xexpensive even after accounting for its growth |
| Trailing P/E | 35.8xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 1.28 |
| EPS, forward | 2.63 |
| Revenue growth | +5.8%slow but positive growth |
| Profit margin | 10.3%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 6.2%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.97% |
| Dividend yield | 0.65% |
| Debt to equity | 0.14minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.48comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.77much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.16% |
| 52-week range | 32.02 - 92.55 |
| Market cap | $25.6B |
| Employees | 14,000 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeGFS trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 5.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 1.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is holding around 110% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 33%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $79.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $15,199 |
| 2026-10-22 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $15,497 |
| 2026-10-15 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $15,678 |
| 2026-10-08 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $16,418 |
| 2026-09-28 | Raman Pradheepa | Chief People Officer | S - Sale | 2,145 | $104,740 |
| 2026-09-24 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $15,316 |
| 2026-09-17 | Azar Samak L | GC | S - Sale | 335 | $15,031 |
| 2026-05-14 | AZAR SAMAK L | Officer | 500 | $37,410 | |
| 2026-05-11 | VICARI SAMUEL | Officer | 8,692 | $657,289 | |
| 2026-05-07 | AZAR SAMAK L | Officer | 500 | $36,095 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $74.99 | -1.2% | · | $989 | -1.2% |
| 2 months | $48.93 | +51.5% | · | $1,515 | +51.5% |
| 3 months | $41.59 | +78.2% | · | $1,782 | +78.2% |
| 6 months | $39.98 | +85.4% | · | $1,854 | +85.4% |
| 1 year | $39.47 | +87.8% | · | $1,878 | +87.8% |
| 2 years | $47.67 | +55.5% | · | $1,555 | +55.5% |
| 3 years | $59.43 | +24.7% | · | $1,247 | +24.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GFS does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.