Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-19 · Permanent

Gulf Insurance Group 8250.SR

Clears both ethical standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Gulf Insurance Group provides insurance and reinsurance products and services for corporates, SMEs, and individual customers in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

The label
Markup

read at $30.76

Gulf Insurance Group holds its Markup at $30.76.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-19
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 3 days
Price$30.76
Valuation11.35 trailing · 13.15 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS
Beta0.29

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Read at
$30.76
11.35 P/E · 13.15 fwd
Our fair value
$28.78
6% premium

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$31.2$26.2$21.1TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$28.78 -6%Conservative$26.32 -14%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$30.76
you are here
Conservative
$26.32
-14%
Our fair value
$28.78
-6%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Revenue growth22.80%
Profit margin8.46%
Debt to equity1.92

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✓ PASSES

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E13.1x
cheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E11.4x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth22.8%
strong top-line growth
Profit margin8.5%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity12.0%
a solid return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity1.92
a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio4.73
comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta0.29
barely tracks the market's swings
Market cap$1.6B

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; its business and earnings are exposed to Saudi Arabia and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Related securities · others in 8250.SR's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%. Entered 2026-07-20 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-20 Markup $30.76 +7.0% Entry 5

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 7.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%.

2026-07-18 Markup $28.74 +0.0% Entry 4

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%.

2026-07-16 Markup $28.74 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 29%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 16%.

2026-07-03 Markup $28.74 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $28.74 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with ethical screening pending. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $27.16 +12.3% $1.20 $1,167 +16.7%
2 months $24.13 +26.4% $1.20 $1,314 +31.4%
3 months $22.50 +35.6% $1.20 $1,409 +40.9%
6 months $21.83 +39.7% $1.20 $1,452 +45.2%
1 year $23.63 +29.1% $1.20 $1,341 +34.1%
2 years $25.88 +17.8% $2.40 $1,271 +27.1%
3 years $24.46 +24.7% $4.38 $1,426 +42.6%
5 years $29.88 +2.1% $5.33 $1,199 +19.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever 8250.SR does next, these words stay.

Gulf Insurance Group · 8250.SR · Markup · $30.76
Recorded 2026-07-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

Get our weekly market brief free.