Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania.
Screened 2026-08-14 · the tape above runs as of 16:37 UTC · 29 Aug · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markup label.
Kinross Gold Corp holds its Markup at $27.31. Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-14
Phase
Markup
Quantitative state
Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 1 days
Price at the screen
$27.31
Valuation
10.38 trailing · 8.92 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.41
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
5.95%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 5.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.80%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.8% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
14.72%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.7% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.04%
Below 5%
Only 1.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-14 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 17.0% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 10 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +39% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-14 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Gold miner looks cheap until the cycle turns
Picture a miner pulling gold from the ground while prices sit high. Kinross shows 61 percent revenue growth, 36 percent margins and a 35 percent return on equity, all at a forward multiple of 7.4 times. Those figures catch the eye, yet the business sits in a cyclical industry where peak earnings often arrive with the lowest multiples.
We pass because the narrow moat and gold price dependence make this a classic value trap rather than a bargain. The 35 percent margin of safety to our fair value looks attractive on paper, but earnings can collapse when metal prices normalise, wiping out the apparent discount.
Analysts see upside to 38 dollars and the ethical screen clears, yet history shows these setups rarely reward patient capital once the cycle rolls over. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-03Markup · changed$23.92-6.5%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 6.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 60%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 43%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-18Distribution$25.58+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is holding around 0% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 60%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 43%. The street (11 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $41.
2026-07-03Distribution$25.58+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Distribution$25.58Entry 1
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.