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The Screen · Financials · Banks - Regional

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.

STEL · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $2.0B · 1,053 employees

Stellar Bancorp, Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
39.32 USD

Price as of 19 Aug 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 71 days ago

Screened 2026-08-19 · the tape above runs as of 18:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price39.32 USD at the 19 Aug 2026 close
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • Last reviewed19 Aug 2026 (71 days ago)

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
26.4128.8744.02

What this means: price 39.32 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 28.87, over the last year.

Current read
Markdown ?
Screened · screened 2026-08-19
  • Trend Markdown
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price39.32 USD
Fair value28.87
Ethical score30.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-07-02Read Markdown38.87+1.2% to today First review on file: Markdown

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. holds its Markdown at $39.32. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 83 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-19
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateConsolidating, no directional conviction, held for 83 days
Price at the screen$39.32
Valuation19.09 trailing · 16.75 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.71
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Stellar Bancorp, does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.

Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

Follow this verdict

Get an email when STEL's ethical verdict changes

Today STEL does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

Free, no account needed. Every email has a link to stop.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

26.41Conservative28.87Base case44.02Growth case 39.32Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 26.6% above the base estimate.

Price History & Projections
$39.7$29.6$19.6TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$28.87 -25%Conservative$26.41 -31%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-19 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Banks move the money but fail our screen

Every time a local firm deposits its takings or draws a loan to expand, the cash flows through a regional bank like this. The business shows steady revenue growth at 7 percent and a solid 25 percent profit margin, yet it fails the ethical screen outright because it sits in banking. We pass for that single reason, regardless of the other numbers.

Forward earnings sit at 16.7 times while return on equity runs at just 6 percent and the shares trade well above our fair value. Low returns on equity in a cyclical sector often signal that peak earnings are already in the price rather than a genuine bargain. Currency and rate swings add further pressure that the market has not fully priced.

Valuation leaves little margin of safety and the ethical block stands firm. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E16.8xexpensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E19.1xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing2.06
EPS, forward2.35
Revenue growth+7.3%slow but positive growth
Profit margin25.0%healthy profit margins
Return on equity6.4%a modest return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield154.00%
Beta0.71steadier than the market
52-week range28.22 - 40.21
Market cap$2.0B
Employees1,053

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

STEL trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-22 Markdown $39.32 +0.0% Entry 7

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-10-02 Markdown $39.32 +0.0% Entry 6

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-09-13 Markdown $39.32 +0.0% Entry 5

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-08-13 Markdown $39.32 +1.2% Entry 4

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-07-18 Markdown $38.87 +0.0% Entry 3

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 12% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 40%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (2 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $38.

2026-07-03 Markdown $38.87 +0.0% Entry 2

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markdown $38.87 Entry 1

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on STEL

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in STEL's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming STEL
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-09-25 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-09-11 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-09-11 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
2026-08-13 John Boozman Republican sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $37.13 +3.1% · $1,031 +3.1%
2 months $37.43 +2.3% · $1,023 +2.3%
3 months $35.58 +7.6% $0.15 $1,080 +8.0%
6 months $32.12 +19.2% $0.30 $1,201 +20.1%
1 year $27.33 +40.1% $0.58 $1,422 +42.2%
2 years $20.96 +82.7% $1.12 $1,880 +88.0%
3 years $23.76 +61.2% $1.64 $1,681 +68.1%
5 years $26.14 +46.5% $2.68 $1,568 +56.8%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever STEL does next, these words stay.

Stellar Bancorp, Inc. · STEL · Markdown · $39.32
Recorded 2026-08-19 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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