CYD
China Yuchai International Limited
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers · NYQ
$58.58
Close 2026-05-22
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

WEAK MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$2.2B
Trailing P/E
27.89
Forward P/E
14.88
Rev Growth
+23.0%
Profit Margin
2.2%
ROE
6.4%
Analyst Target
$63.89
Recommendation
STRONG BUY
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.95%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (3.57%)FAIL
Receivables Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Valuation: 77.5
Score Quality: 47.0
Score Combined: 51.6
Fair Value Est: $59.04 · Margin of Safety: +0.8%

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation90.5
Quality36.9
Cash Flow50.0
Moat25.0
Balance Sheet100.0
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity0.0
Rev Purity100.0
Compliance29.4
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 51.0 · Rank: #1651
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-08-06Pending--
2020-11-162.642.98+12.9%
2020-08-124.345.99+38.0%
2020-05-262.011.49-25.9%
2020-03-302.235.13+130.0%
2019-11-133.171.23-61.2%
2019-08-134.903.60-26.5%
2019-05-104.984.85-2.6%
Insider Transactions
No insider transaction data.
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Shah Capital Management1.6M$92.8M0.0%
Acadian Asset Management. LLC1.1M$64.7M0.0%
Millennium Management Llc664.4K$38.1M0.0%
Wellington Management Group, LLP451.4K$25.9M0.0%
Renaissance Technologies, LLC343.6K$19.7M0.0%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership325.0K$18.6M0.0%
Matthews International Capital Management, LLC324.0K$18.6M0.0%
Cederberg Capital Ltd322.9K$18.5M0.0%
Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd263.9K$15.1M0.0%
Two Sigma Investments, LP228.8K$13.1M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
2 Months Ago
3
4 analysts
Last Month
3
4 analysts
Current
3
4 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
-$287.5M
Price/Book
1.53
Beta
1.289
Analysts
4
Total Revenue (TTM)
$24.7B
Total Debt
$2.1B
Earnings Growth
+109.1%
Dividend Yield
95.0%
Rec. Mean
1.50

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 51.6 (P77 — top 23.4% of scored tickers). Weak Moat. Ethical FAIL. 4 analysts at Strong Buy.
Price: $58.58 | Target: $63.89 (+9%) | Fair Value: $59.04 (+1%)
Score
52
Moat
WEAK
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+9%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+23.0%
Profit Margin2.2%
ROE6.4%
Forward P/E14.9
Market Cap$2.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-08-06$—Pending
2020-11-16$2.64$2.98+12.9%
2020-08-12$4.34$5.99+38.0%
2020-05-26$2.01$1.49-25.9%
2020-03-30$2.23$5.13+130.0%
2019-11-13$3.17$1.23-61.2%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $49.79 (-15%) | Entry: $58.58
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($63.89, 4 analysts)
10$585.75+$53.10 (9%)0.6R
50$2,928.75+$265.50 (9%)0.6R
100$5,857.50+$531.00 (9%)0.6R
To Fair Value ($59.04)
10$585.75+$4.60 (1%)0.1R
50$2,928.75+$23.00 (1%)0.1R
100$5,857.50+$46.00 (1%)0.1R
Risk Factors
  • No elevated risk flags in current data
The Verdict
China Yuchai International Limited holds a weak competitive moat and is growing revenue at +23.0%.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

A
Quant Score
75.1
Risk Grade
Layers
8
Quality: HIGH_SORTINO
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-5.8%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-9.0%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
2.24
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-44.5%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
62
Liquidity Grade
LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
NEAR_UPPER
Beta
Relative Volume
1.3x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
50.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
DIN.AE-0.164
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SLDE-0.158
BAES.L-0.136
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.18771168676811795
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
Beat Drift Positive %
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+39.8%
3M Return
+23.0%
6M Return
+76.2%
12M Return
+251.0%
Momentum Rank
#210
Momentum Signal
STRONG_UP

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