AEE
Ameren
Utilities · Multi-Utilities · US
$109.07
Close 2025-12-31
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

MODERATE MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$30.2B
Trailing P/E
19.60
Forward P/E
18.80
Rev Growth
+7.9%
Profit Margin
17.8%
ROE
11.7%
Analyst Target
$120.20
Recommendation
BUY
About Ameren

Ameren Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. It engages in the rate-regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution business and natural gas transmission and distribution business. The company also generates electricity through coal, nuclear, and natural gas, as well as renewable energy, including hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar energy centers. It serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Ameren Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Opportunity Summary
Trading near fair value at $109 (estimated $116). Moderate competitive position. Fails ethical screen (Debt ratio). Ranks better than 12% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityPASS
Debt Ratio (0.41%)FAIL
Cash Ratio (0.00%)PASS
Receivables Ratio (0.01%)PASS
Revenue Ratio (0.00%)PASS
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 67.0
Score Quality: 41.0
Score Combined: 39.5
Fair Value Est: $116.00 · Margin of Safety: +6.4% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality36.6
Cash Flow0.0
Moat50.0
Balance Sheet40.9
Debt Purity0.0
Liquid Purity100.0
Rev Purity90.7
Compliance56.1
Tier: BRONZE · Score: 53.0 · Rank: #1215
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-301.06Pending--
2026-05-051.181.28+8.2%
2026-02-110.690.92+32.6%
2025-11-052.122.35+10.9%
2025-07-310.991.01+1.7%
2025-05-011.041.07+2.8%
2025-02-130.800.77-3.2%
2024-11-061.921.70-11.5%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$2.2B$357.0M$1.1B$1.1B$532.0M1.29
2025-12-31$1.8B$252.0M$880.0M$898.0M$360.0M
2025-09-30$2.7B$640.0M$1.3B$1.4B$825.0M2.37
2025-06-30$2.2B$275.0M$905.0M$928.0M$411.0M1.02
2025-03-31$2.1B$289.0M$930.0M$941.0M$430.0M1.07
2024-12-310.77
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-14SHAW THERESA AOfficer1,825$199.5K
2026-05-01MOEHN MICHAEL LOfficer6,500$738.6K
2026-03-05BRUNE CATHERINE SDirector450--
2026-03-03LYONS MARTIN J JRChief Executive Officer26,818$3.0M
2026-03-03LINDGREN MARK COfficer of Subsidiary Company2,073$231.8K
2026-03-03SCHUKAR SHAWN EOfficer of Subsidiary Company4,975$556.4K
2026-02-27RAUSCH TIMOTHY S.Director1,251--
2026-02-17MIZELL GWENDOLYN G.Officer of Subsidiary Company3,548$393.5K
2026-02-17SHAW THERESA AOfficer325$36.4K
2026-02-17ARORA AJAY KOfficer3,000$334.3K
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.23.8M$2.6B0.1%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc21.4M$2.4B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC17.9M$2.0B0.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC15.8M$1.8B0.1%
State Street Corporation14.9M$1.7B0.1%
Geode Capital Management, LLC7.7M$852.3M0.0%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.7.5M$838.5M0.0%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.6.3M$698.2M0.0%
Franklin Resources, Inc.5.7M$632.4M0.0%
Janus Henderson Group PLC5.4M$598.4M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
9
7
17 analysts
2 Months Ago
7
8
15 analysts
Last Month
7
7
15 analysts
Current
1
9
7
17 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$52.2B
Price/Book
2.27
Beta
0.511
Analysts
15
Total Revenue (TTM)
$8.5B
Total Debt
$21.3B
Earnings Growth
+19.6%
Dividend Yield
275.0%
Rec. Mean
1.88
Short Ratio
6.10
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
8,913

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 39.5 (P42 — top 57.9% of scored tickers). Moderate Moat. Ethical FAIL. 15 analysts at Buy.
Price: $109.07 | Target: $119.80 (+10%) | Fair Value: $116.00 (+6%)
Score
40
Moat
MODERATE
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+10%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+7.9%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE11.7%
Forward P/E18.8
Market Cap$30.2B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-30$1.06Pending
2026-05-05$1.18$1.28+8.2%
2026-02-11$0.69$0.92+32.6%
2025-11-05$2.12$2.35+10.9%
2025-07-31$0.99$1.01+1.7%
2025-05-01$1.04$1.07+2.8%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $92.71 (-15%) | Entry: $109.07
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($119.80, 15 analysts)
10$1,090.70+$107.30 (10%)0.7R
50$5,453.50+$536.50 (10%)0.7R
100$10,907.00+$1,073.00 (10%)0.7R
To Fair Value ($116.00)
10$1,090.70+$69.30 (6%)0.4R
50$5,453.50+$346.50 (6%)0.4R
100$10,907.00+$693.00 (6%)0.4R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (6.10 days to cover)
The Verdict
Ameren holds a moderate competitive moat.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

C
Quant Score
53.4
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Quality: HIGH_SORTINO
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-1.6%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-2.4%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
2.12
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-8.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
90
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
75.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
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Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
NTSK-0.181
PRN.L-0.171
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TAM.KW-0.142
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Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Thursday
Worst Day
Wednesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Dec
Fri-Mon Effect
0.10299004251439123
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
+0.5%
Beat Drift Positive %
40.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
-0.1%
3M Return
+0.5%
6M Return
+8.8%
12M Return
+19.8%
Momentum Rank
#2178
Momentum Signal
FLAT

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