TXT
Textron
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · US
$91.01
✗ ETHICAL FAIL

NARROW MOAT
HIGH
Data Confidence: 100%
Full financial profile available
Market Cap
$15.8B
Trailing P/E
17.40
Forward P/E
12.50
Rev Growth
+11.8%
Profit Margin
6.2%
ROE
12.3%
Analyst Target
$103.45
Recommendation
BUY
About Textron

Textron Inc. operates in the aircraft, defense, industrial, and finance businesses worldwide. It operates in six segments: Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, Textron eAviation, and Finance. The Textron Aviation segment manufactures, sells, and services business jets, turboprop and piston engine aircraft, and military trainer and defense aircraft, as well as offers maintenance, inspection, and repair services; commercial parts; and advanced flight training devices. The Bell segment supplies military and commercial helicopters, tiltrotor aircraft, and related spare parts and services. The Textron Systems segment offers unmanned aircraft systems, electronic systems and solutions, advanced marine crafts, piston aircraft engines, live military air-to-air and air-to-ship training, weapons and related components, and armored and specialty vehicles. The Industrial segment offers blow-molded solutions, including conventional plastic fuel tanks and pressurized fuel tanks; plastic tanks for catalytic reduction systems and other fuel system components; lightweight and composite pentatonic battery systems for use in electric vehicles primarily to automobile original equipment manufacturers; and golf cars, off-road utility vehicles, powersports products, light transportation vehicles, aviation ground support equipment, professional turf-maintenance equipment, and turf-care vehicles to golf courses and resorts, government agencies and municipalities, consumers, outdoor enthusiasts, and commercial and industrial users. The Textron eAviation segment manufactures and sells light aircraft and gliders with electric and combustion engines; and provides other research and development initiatives related to sustainable aviation solutions. The Finance segment offers financing services to purchase new and pre-owned aviation aircraft and Bell helicopters. Textron Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island.

Opportunity Summary
Trading at $91 against a fair value of $146, a 38% discount. Fails ethical screen (Business activity screen). Ranks better than 70% of screened stocks.
Ethical Screen
Business ActivityFAIL
Debt Ratio
Cash Ratio
Receivables Ratio
Revenue Ratio
OverallFAIL
Score Ethical: 10.0
Score Valuation: 88.0
Score Quality: 46.0
Score Combined: 46.0
Fair Value Est: $146.00 · Margin of Safety: +60.4% · Tier: AVOID

Full Analysis

Opportunity scores, earnings history, insider transactions, institutional holders, analyst consensus, and more.

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Opportunity Scores
Valuation100.0
Quality42.9
Cash Flow48.8
Moat70.0
Balance Sheet85.7
Debt Purity50.0
Liquid Purity50.0
Rev Purity50.0
Compliance100.0
Tier: GOLD · Score: 77.5 · Rank: #112
Earnings History (Last 8 Quarters)
DateEPS Est.Reported EPSSurprise %
2026-07-231.55Pending--
2026-04-301.301.45+11.3%
2026-01-281.501.33-11.2%
2025-10-231.461.55+6.4%
2025-07-241.451.55+7.2%
2025-04-241.141.28+12.6%
2025-01-221.251.34+6.8%
2024-10-241.501.40-6.4%
Quarterly Financials
PeriodRevenueNet IncomeEBITDAGross ProfitOp. IncomeEPS
2026-03-31$3.7B$220.0M$397.0M$672.0M$231.0M1.25
2025-12-31$4.2B$235.0M$427.0M$698.0M$249.0M1.33
2025-09-30$3.6B$234.0M$443.0M$654.0M$279.0M1.31
2025-06-30$3.7B$245.0M$432.0M$709.0M$269.0M1.36
2025-03-31$3.3B$207.0M$362.0M$634.0M$204.0M1.13
2024-12-31
Insider Transactions
DateNameRoleSharesValue
2026-05-06CLARK RONALD KERRYDirector2,517$234.3K
2026-05-01KENNEDY THOMAS ADirector10,300$988.6K
2026-04-29KENNEDY THOMAS ADirector2,061--
2026-04-29CLARK RONALD KERRYDirector2,061--
2026-04-29NOWELL LIONEL L IIIDirector2,061--
2026-04-29JAMES DEBORAH LEEDirector2,061--
2026-04-29AMBROSE RICHARD F.Director2,061--
2026-04-29ZUBER MARIA T.Director2,061--
2026-04-29MIONIS ROBERT ANDREWDirector2,061--
2026-04-29GARRETT MICHAEL XDirector2,061--
Top Institutional Holders
HolderSharesValue% Held
Blackrock Inc.15.7M$1.4B0.1%
FMR, LLC11.4M$1.0B0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC11.3M$1.0B0.1%
State Street Corporation9.7M$894.8M0.1%
Invesco Ltd.8.0M$735.6M0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC7.5M$687.3M0.0%
Boston Partners5.7M$525.5M0.0%
AQR Capital Management, LLC5.6M$517.3M0.0%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.5.2M$475.7M0.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC5.0M$456.6M0.0%
Analyst Recommendations
3 Months Ago
6
11
17 analysts
2 Months Ago
5
12
17 analysts
Last Month
5
11
16 analysts
Current
6
11
17 analysts
Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell
Additional Fundamentals
Enterprise Value
$18.7B
Price/Book
2.00
Beta
0.934
Analysts
16
Total Revenue (TTM)
$15.2B
Total Debt
$4.2B
Earnings Growth
+10.6%
Dividend Yield
9.0%
Rec. Mean
2.29
Short Ratio
3.99
Short % Float
0.0%
Employees
34,000

Elite Intelligence

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Trade Consideration
The Opportunity
Score 46.0 (P64 — top 35.5% of scored tickers). Narrow Moat. Ethical FAIL. 16 analysts at Buy.
Price: $91.01 | Target: $103.45 (+14%) | Fair Value: $146.00 (+60%)
Score
46
Moat
NARROW
Conviction
Standard
Upside
+14%
The Fundamentals
Revenue Growth+11.8%
Profit Margin0.0%
ROE12.3%
Forward P/E12.5
Market Cap$15.8B
Earnings Track Record
DateEstimateReportedSurprise
2026-07-23$1.55Pending
2026-04-30$1.30$1.45+11.3%
2026-01-28$1.50$1.33-11.2%
2025-10-23$1.46$1.55+6.4%
2025-07-24$1.45$1.55+7.2%
2025-04-24$1.14$1.28+12.6%
Position Sizing Scenarios
Stop: $77.36 (-15%) | Entry: $91.01
SharesCostProfit to TargetR:R
To Consensus ($103.45, 16 analysts)
10$910.10+$124.40 (14%)0.9R
50$4,550.50+$622.00 (14%)0.9R
100$9,101.00+$1,244.00 (14%)0.9R
To Fair Value ($146.00)
10$910.10+$549.90 (60%)4.0R
50$4,550.50+$2,749.50 (60%)4.0R
100$9,101.00+$5,499.00 (60%)4.0R
Risk Factors
  • Elevated short interest (3.99 days to cover)
The Verdict
Textron holds a narrow competitive moat and trades at a 60.4% discount to fair value.
Quantitative Grade

A single score combining all analytical layers below. A is strongest, D is weakest.

B
Quant Score
55.7
Risk Grade
LOW_RISK
Layers
8
Risk Profile

How much could this ticker lose on a bad day? These metrics measure worst-case scenarios from historical data.

VaR 95%
-2.5%
worst expected daily loss, 19 in 20 days
CVaR 95%
-4.3%
avg loss on the worst 5% of days
Annual Volatility
Sortino Ratio
0.14
above 1.0 is good
Max Drawdown
-35.4%
Worst Day
Forward Outlook

Based on 10,000 simulated price paths, here is the probability of where this ticker could be in 30, 60, and 90 days.

30d Prob Up
90d Prob Up
Median Return 30d
Liquidity Score
85
Liquidity Grade
HIGHLY LIQUID
Trend & Momentum

What direction is this ticker actually moving, filtered through noise? Is it speeding up or slowing down?

Kalman Trend
Trend Strength
Momentum Signal
HMM Regime
RSI Signal
Technical Signals

Classic chart signals that institutional traders monitor. Golden Cross is bullish, Death Cross is bearish.

MA Crossover
ABOVE_200
Bollinger Position
UPPER_HALF
Beta
Relative Volume
1.1x
Short Interest
Financial Health

Is this company financially sound? The Z-Score measures bankruptcy risk. The F-Score measures fundamental strength.

Altman Z-Score
below 1.81 = distress zone
Piotroski F-Score
Earnings Beat Rate
75.0%
Earnings Consistency
Correlations

These tickers tend to move together (positive) or in opposite directions (negative). Useful for portfolio diversification.

Most Correlated
TickerCorrelation
XLI0.742
NDSN0.681
XLB0.668
IWM0.667
DOV0.654
Inverse Correlated
TickerCorrelation
BAES.L-0.196
SUKOON.AE-0.183
TAM.KW-0.154
INDF.JK-0.137
BBLNF-0.136
Seasonality

Does this ticker have consistent patterns on certain days or months? Historical tendencies, not guarantees.

Best Day
Monday
Worst Day
Tuesday
Best Month
Feb
Worst Month
Mar
Fri-Mon Effect
-0.21712206189352312
Earnings Drift

After this company beats earnings, does the price keep going up? Drift tracks post-earnings momentum.

Avg Drift After Beat
-1.3%
Beat Drift Positive %
40.0%
Consistency
Momentum Rankings

How does this ticker's recent performance compare to the entire universe? Ranked across 1, 3, 6, and 12-month returns.

1M Return
+5.4%
3M Return
-6.3%
6M Return
+16.6%
12M Return
+26.2%
Momentum Rank
#1886
Momentum Signal
UP

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