NAS100 29,368 +0.91% S&P 7,657 +0.86% GOLD $4,390 +0.58% BTC $77,267 +0.91% VIX 15.84 −11.21% live tape · as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep
Vol. II · No. 255Saturday, 12 September 2026
TTitan Protect
The Screen · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

T1 Energy Inc.

TE · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.3B · 562 employees

T1 Energy Inc.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
4.51 USD

At the last full screen
2026-08-26

Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its markdown label.

T1 Energy Inc. holds its Markdown at $4.51. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 8 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-08-26
PhaseMarkdown · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 8 days
Price at the screen$4.51
ValuationN/A trailing · 47.47 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 70.0
Beta2.25
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Debt ratio

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Permissible Core business clean Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
Debt load 39.98% Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is 40.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash 0.00% Below 33% Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
Receivables 19.45% Below 49% Money owed to the company is 19.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
Revenue purity 0.00% Below 5% Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. Pass

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

5.45Conservative5.45Base case6.27Growth case 4.51Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
7.00Street low 9.00Street average 16.00Street high 4.51Price

Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +100% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$17.2$8.7$0.2TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONStreet high$16.00 +107%Street avg$9.00 +17%Conservative$5.45 -29%Our fair value$5.45 -29%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Rebranded solar maker grows fast yet stays loss making

Picture a battery firm that swaps its story for solar modules and suddenly claims 232 percent revenue growth. The business now sells photovoltaic panels across the US and Norway, yet it still posts a 42 percent negative profit margin and a negative 111 percent return on equity. With a forward price to earnings ratio of 28.3 times on earnings that have not materialised, the market already prices in perfection while the company burns cash at an alarming rate.

We pass because the numbers show a high valuation attached to an unprofitable operation with no proven moat. The 12 percent gap to our fair value offers little cushion when margins remain deeply negative and return on equity signals capital destruction rather than creation. Analyst targets sit higher, but those forecasts rest on execution that has yet to appear in the reported results.

The biggest risks sit in the execution of the pivot, competition from established solar players, and the chance that rapid top line growth never converts into sustainable profits. Currency swings and supply chain issues common to the sector add further uncertainty. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E47.5xcheap for a company growing this fast
EPS, trailing-1.81
EPS, forward0.10
Revenue growth+88.4%growing very fast
Profit margin-38.5%currently unprofitable
Return on equity-124.5%not currently earning a positive return on equity
FCF yield-9.24%
Debt to equity2.83heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens
Current ratio1.30adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta2.25much more volatile than the market
Short interest, float0.30%
52-week range1.57 - 12.49
Market cap$1.3B
Employees562

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

TE trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-08-14 Distribution · changed $5.85 -31.2% Entry 4

The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 31.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 111% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 459%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $9.

2026-07-18 Markup $8.50 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 111% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 459%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $9.

2026-07-03 Markup $8.50 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $8.50 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Related Securities · Others in TE's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

The Political Ledger · Congressional Disclosures
Disclosures naming TE
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
9 May2024 Tommy Tuberville Republican buy 50K–100K
9 Jul2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
9 Jul2026 Ro Khanna Democrat sell 1K–15K
9 Jul2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat sell 1K–15K
9 Jul2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat sell 1K–15K
What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $6.04 +27.8% · $1,278 +27.8%
2 months $4.69 +64.6% · $1,646 +64.6%
3 months $7.74 -0.3% · $997 -0.3%
6 months $5.87 +31.5% · $1,315 +31.5%
1 year $1.38 +459.4% · $5,594 +459.4%
2 years $1.95 +295.9% · $3,959 +295.9%
3 years $7.39 +4.5% · $1,045 +4.5%
5 years $10.09 -23.5% · $765 -23.5%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever TE does next, these words stay.

T1 Energy Inc. · TE · Markdown · $4.51
Recorded 2026-08-26 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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Screening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.

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