The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 31.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 111% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 459%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $9.
T1 Energy Inc.
TE · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $1.3B · 562 employees
T1 Energy Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenAt the last full screen
2026-08-26
Screened 2026-08-26 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markdown label.
T1 Energy Inc. holds its Markdown at $4.51. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 8 days.
| Phase | Markdown · caution |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 8 days |
| Price at the screen | $4.51 |
| Valuation | N/A trailing · 47.47 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 2.25 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 39.98% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 40.0% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 19.45% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 19.5% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-26 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 20.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 7 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +100% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-26 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsRebranded solar maker grows fast yet stays loss making
Picture a battery firm that swaps its story for solar modules and suddenly claims 232 percent revenue growth. The business now sells photovoltaic panels across the US and Norway, yet it still posts a 42 percent negative profit margin and a negative 111 percent return on equity. With a forward price to earnings ratio of 28.3 times on earnings that have not materialised, the market already prices in perfection while the company burns cash at an alarming rate.
We pass because the numbers show a high valuation attached to an unprofitable operation with no proven moat. The 12 percent gap to our fair value offers little cushion when margins remain deeply negative and return on equity signals capital destruction rather than creation. Analyst targets sit higher, but those forecasts rest on execution that has yet to appear in the reported results.
The biggest risks sit in the execution of the pivot, competition from established solar players, and the chance that rapid top line growth never converts into sustainable profits. Currency swings and supply chain issues common to the sector add further uncertainty. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 47.5xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| EPS, trailing | -1.81 |
| EPS, forward | 0.10 |
| Revenue growth | +88.4%growing very fast |
| Profit margin | -38.5%currently unprofitable |
| Return on equity | -124.5%not currently earning a positive return on equity |
| FCF yield | -9.24% |
| Debt to equity | 2.83heavy leverage: higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.30adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 2.25much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.30% |
| 52-week range | 1.57 - 12.49 |
| Market cap | $1.3B |
| Employees | 562 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeTE trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 111% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 459%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 41%. The street (5 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $9.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Politician | Party | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May2024 | Tommy Tuberville | Republican | buy | 50K–100K |
| 9 Jul2026 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | buy | 1K–15K |
| 9 Jul2026 | Ro Khanna | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 9 Jul2026 | Richard Blumenthal | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| 9 Jul2026 | Richard Blumenthal | Democrat | sell | 1K–15K |
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $6.04 | +27.8% | · | $1,278 | +27.8% |
| 2 months | $4.69 | +64.6% | · | $1,646 | +64.6% |
| 3 months | $7.74 | -0.3% | · | $997 | -0.3% |
| 6 months | $5.87 | +31.5% | · | $1,315 | +31.5% |
| 1 year | $1.38 | +459.4% | · | $5,594 | +459.4% |
| 2 years | $1.95 | +295.9% | · | $3,959 | +295.9% |
| 3 years | $7.39 | +4.5% | · | $1,045 | +4.5% |
| 5 years | $10.09 | -23.5% | · | $765 | -23.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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