The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Royalty Pharma plc
RPRX · NASDAQ · USD · Market cap $38.4B · 100 employees
Royalty Pharma plc operates as a buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties and a funder of innovation in the biopharmaceutical industry in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 5 Nov 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-11-05 · the tape above runs as of 18:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price67.57 USD at the 5 Nov 2026 close
- Our value readFair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Our regime readMarkup, as of 5 Nov 2026
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.05)
- Last reviewed5 Nov 2026 (1 days ago)
- Release timesRelease and earnings times on your chart: Event Guard Mentor
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
Our fair-value range: $70.00 to $135.12, base estimate $70.00 (screen dated 2026-11-05).
- Trend Markup
- Insiders insiders sold, $238,813, latest filing 2026-09-28
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.05, read 2026-11-02
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its markup label.
Royalty Pharma plc holds its Markup at $67.57. The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 12 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the buyers, held for 12 days |
| Price at the screen | $67.57 |
| Valuation | 35.32 trailing · 11.43 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 0.36 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 45.62% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is 45.6% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | 85.62% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are 85.6% of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | 3.30% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 3.3% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
| Revenue purity | 1.41% | Below 5% | Only 1.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Royalty Pharma's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 46% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-11-05. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads Fair vs our fair value, as of 5 Nov 2026: it trades at roughly a 3% discount to our $70.00 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 16.50% revenue growth.
How a fair value is estimated: discounted cash flow (DCF).
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-11-05 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 3.5% discount to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 8 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits −2% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere our models see it going: fair-value estimate $70.00, with a range of $70.00 to $135.12, dated to the 2026-11-05 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsRoyalty Deals Offer Safety Without Real Edge
Picture a landlord who owns slices of bestselling medicines rather than bricks and mortar. Royalty Pharma collects payments on thirty five approved drugs plus twenty early stage candidates, delivering 11 percent revenue growth, 34 percent profit margins and 14 percent return on equity at a forward multiple of 10.4 times.
Those figures look solid and the ethical screen clears without issue, yet the opportunity rating sits at none. Our own fair value implies 13 percent upside from the current price, but analyst targets cluster lower and the narrow moat leaves little room for outperformance once key royalties mature.
Patent cliffs and the hit rate on development stage assets remain the real variables. A low multiple on a business like this often signals capped growth rather than hidden value. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 11.4xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 35.3xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 1.88 |
| EPS, forward | 5.81 |
| Revenue growth | +16.5%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 32.0%highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 14.0%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | -3.12% |
| Dividend yield | 171.00% |
| Debt to equity | 0.92moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 2.80comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 0.36barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.03% |
| 52-week range | 36.03 - 67.71 |
| Moat | NARROW |
| Market cap | $38.4B |
| Employees | 100 |
Another profit measure, before interest, tax and non-cash costs: EBITDA.
The risks · The things to watch: as a biotechnology name, trial and regulatory outcomes can move it sharply either way.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeRPRX trades on NASDAQ. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 5.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 6.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The framework has shifted from markdown to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 14% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved up 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 31% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 66%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 25%. The street (8 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $59. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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- Unveiling Royalty Pharma (RPRX) Q3 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Should You Buy Royalty Pharma Stock Before Nov. 4? Yahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Guardant Health (GH) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q3 Release Yahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Royalty Pharma (RPRX) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release Yahoo Finance · 9d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Urist Marshall | EVP, Research, Investments | S - Sale | 4,126 | $238,813 |
| 2026-09-22 | Hite Christopher | EVP, COB, Partnering | S - Sale | 100,000 | $5,853,095 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $51.42 | +6.0% | $0.24 | $1,065 | +6.5% |
| 2 months | $47.69 | +14.3% | $0.24 | $1,148 | +14.8% |
| 3 months | $45.67 | +19.4% | $0.24 | $1,199 | +19.9% |
| 6 months | $38.44 | +41.8% | $0.47 | $1,431 | +43.1% |
| 1 year | $32.87 | +65.8% | $0.91 | $1,686 | +68.6% |
| 2 years | $26.04 | +109.4% | $1.77 | $2,161 | +116.1% |
| 3 years | $30.40 | +79.3% | $2.59 | $1,879 | +87.9% |
| 5 years | $39.93 | +36.5% | $4.09 | $1,468 | +46.8% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever RPRX does next, these words stay.
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