Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-27 · Permanent

Rockwell Automation logoRockwell Automation ROK

Clears both ethical standards

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Rockwell Automation, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial automation and digital transformation solutions in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

The label
Markup

read at $466.00

Rockwell Automation holds its Markup at $466.00.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Markup label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-27
PhaseMarkup
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 14 days
Price$466.00
Valuation48.49 trailing · 31.86 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 82.0
Beta1.54

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads OVERVALUED — it trades above our $390.28 fair value estimate, moderate competitive moat, 11.90% revenue growth.

Read at
$466.00
48.49 P/E · 31.86 fwd
Our fair value
$390.28
16% premium
Analyst target (avg)
$488.00
+5% to current
Target low $282.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $555.00
▲ current $466.00 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$580$401$223TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst high$555.00 +26%Analyst avg$488.00 +11%Our fair value$390.28 -11%Conservative$253.80 -42%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$466.00
you are here
Conservative
$253.80
-46%
Analyst avg
$488.00
+5%
Our fair value
$390.28
-16%
Analyst high
$555.00
+19%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.

Revenue growth11.90%
Profit margin12.36%
Debt to equity113.37
Analyst consensusBuy · 24 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✓ PASSES

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is just 32.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 21.4% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.2% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Factory Brains Priced Like Growth Darlings

Picture a Midwest assembly line where every robot and sensor talks back in real time. Rockwell sits at the centre of that conversation, selling the controls and software that keep plants running. Revenue is growing 12 percent and returns on equity hit 27 percent, yet the shares trade at 31.6 times forward earnings with a negative 16 percent margin of safety.

We pass. The market already prices in flawless execution and ignores the fact that a moderate moat in automation still faces global rivals and cyclical order swings. Paying 461 dollars when our work values the business closer to 390 dollars leaves no room for disappointment.

Analysts may cluster around a 487 dollar target, but history shows industrial multiples compress fast when capital spending slows. Currency moves and supply chain kinks add further volatility that the current valuation does not reflect. Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E31.9x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E48.5x
expensive — the price assumes strong growth ahead
Revenue growth11.9%
steady growth
Profit margin12.4%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity27.2%
an exceptional return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity1.13
a meaningful debt load worth watching
Current ratio1.09
adequate liquidity, worth monitoring
Beta1.54
much more volatile than the market
Market cap$51.9B
Employees26,000

The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Latest news · what the market is reading on ROK

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference — not our reporting, not advice.

Related securities · others in ROK's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

ROK trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (25 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $462. Entered 2026-07-18 · Markup

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Markup $446.71 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 37%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (25 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $462.

2026-07-03 Markup $446.71 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Markup $446.71 Entry 1

The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · ROK
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-20 MILLER JOHN M Officer 1,054 $449,025
2026-05-20 MILLER JOHN M Officer 700 $95,480
2026-05-08 RIESTERER TERRY LEE Officer 3,824 $960,190
2026-05-07 RIESTERER TERRY LEE Officer 4,024 $1,818,722
2026-05-05 GENEREUX SCOTT A Officer 550 $246,252
2026-05-05 FORDENWALT MATTHEW W Officer 600 $269,748
2026-05-05 NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER Chief Technology Officer 2,538 $1,133,050
2026-05-05 NARDECCHIA CHRISTOPHER Chief Technology Officer 2,538 $890,229
2026-05-05 FORDENWALT MATTHEW W Officer 600 $148,062
2026-04-16 ZAPICO NIMCRUT DAVID A. Director 229 ·

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

The political ledger · congressional disclosures

Disclosures naming ROK
DatePoliticianPartyTypeAmount
27 May2026 Ro Khanna Democrat buy 1K–15K
2026-04-15 Richard Blumenthal Democrat Purchase 1K–15K
2026-04-13 Ro Khanna Democrat Purchase 1K–15K
15 Apr2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat buy 1K–15K
15 Apr2026 Richard Blumenthal Democrat buy 1K–15K

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $455.26 -3.3% $1.38 $970 -3.0%
2 months $394.78 +11.5% $1.38 $1,119 +11.9%
3 months $357.10 +23.3% $1.38 $1,237 +23.7%
6 months $410.35 +7.3% $2.76 $1,080 +8.0%
1 year $320.68 +37.3% $5.45 $1,390 +39.0%
2 years $247.14 +78.1% $10.63 $1,824 +82.4%
3 years $290.57 +51.5% $15.56 $1,569 +56.9%
5 years $261.28 +68.5% $24.65 $1,779 +77.9%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ROK does next, these words stay.

Rockwell Automation · ROK · Markup · $466.00
Recorded 2026-07-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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