RHP · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $8.4B · 1,012 employees
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
121.99 USD
At the last full screen 2026-09-11
Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. holds its Markdown at $121.99. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 264 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 264 days
Price at the screen
$121.99
Valuation
29.75 trailing · 25.57 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.19
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
66.91%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 66.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
9.34%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 9.3% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.79%
Below 5%
Only 0.8% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 12.0% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 14 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +14% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Hotel REIT priced well above fair value
Picture a big convention hall filling up after a long quiet spell, with bookings finally flowing again for upscale resorts like the Gaylord properties. Ryman Hospitality Properties shows solid 13% revenue growth and a 23% ROE, yet it clears our ethical screen only to fall short on valuation. At 25.6 times forward earnings and a 19% premium to fair value, the market has already baked in strong recovery while leaving little room for the next slowdown.
We pass on this one because the opportunity rating is none and the price sits above our calculated worth. Strong buy ratings from analysts and a matching median target do not change the fact that cyclical hotel demand can swing sharply with travel trends and corporate events. The numbers point to a business that is recovering well but not offering the margin of safety we require.
Risk sits in the hospitality cycle itself, where a dip in group bookings or higher operating costs can compress the 9% profit margin quickly. Currency and regional exposure add further swings that are hard to predict. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
RHP trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 7.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $120.
2026-08-11Markup · changed$124.23+1.2%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $120.
2026-07-18Accumulation$122.81+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 22% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 17%. The street (15 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $120.
2026-07-03Accumulation$122.81+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$122.81Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
