PEB · the NYSE · USD · Market cap $2.1B · 52 employees
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
18.28 USD
At the last full screen 2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust holds its Accumulation at $18.28. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 262 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 262 days
Price at the screen
$18.28
Valuation
N/A trailing · -54.84 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.41
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
45.94%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 45.9% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
4.08%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 4.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.00%
Below 5%
Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 3.9% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Hold. The average target sits +4% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our model sees value the Street hasn't fully caught up to yet.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Hotels Struggle as Travel Recovery Stalls
Picture a string of stylish city hotels and beach resorts sitting half empty while costs keep climbing. Pebblebrook owns 43 of them across urban and resort spots, yet it is still posting losses and negative returns on equity. Revenue is edging up 8 percent, but that has not translated into profits, leaving the forward earnings multiple deep in negative territory.
We pass because the shares sit 12 percent above our fair value estimate and the business shows no durable edge. Fifteen analysts see it as a hold with a median target matching that lower value, and the negative profit margin of 3 percent underlines how little pricing power these assets currently carry.
Hotel cash flows swing hard with economic cycles and consumer spending, so even an ethical screen pass does not remove the risk of further earnings pressure. The combination of overvaluation and thin margins leaves little room for comfort.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
PEB trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-09Markdown · changed$18.28-3.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 3.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-08-08Markup · changed$19.01+4.6%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 4.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-07-18Accumulation$18.18+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 29% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 77%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (15 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $15.
2026-07-03Accumulation$18.18+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$18.18Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
