NAS10029,430−1.28%S&P7,718−0.34%GOLD$4,038−0.34%BTC$80,235−1.27%VIX16.92+0.06%latest tape · as of 14:02 UTC
The Screen · Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel
Host Hotels & Resorts
HST · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $16.7B · 162 employees
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc., herein referred to as we, Host Inc., or the Company, is a self-managed and self-administered real estate investment trust that owns hotel property.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
24.72 USD
Price as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 14:02 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
Price24.72 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
Our ratingAvoid, current read accumulation
Ethical screenDoes not pass
OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.10)
Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 24.72 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 18.18, over the last year.
Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
Options put/call open interest 0.10, read 2026-10-27
Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price24.72 USD
Fair value18.18
Ethical score10.0/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-02Read Accumulation22.66+9.1% to today ✓Distribution gives way to Accumulation
2026-09-01Read Distribution23.21+6.5% to today Markup gives way to Distribution after a 9% slide in 4 weeks
2026-08-01Read Markup25.47-2.9% to today Accumulation gives way to Markup
2026-07-02Read Accumulation24.62+0.4% to today ✓First review on file: Accumulation
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
Host Hotels & Resorts holds its Accumulation at $24.72. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 332 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-10-23
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 332 days
Price at the screen
$24.72
Valuation
16.20 trailing · 22.71 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 10.0
Beta
1.12
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
43.22%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 43.2% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
1.98%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 2.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
7.06%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 7.1% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.52%
Below 5%
Only 0.5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical Read
Why It Falls Short, in Plain English
Host Hotels & Resorts's business is in a permissible area, but its interest-bearing debt is about 43% of the company, well over the ~33% line, so it does not pass on the financial screens.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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Get an email when HST's ethical verdict changes
Today HST does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.
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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads AVOID: it trades above our $18.18 fair value estimate, moderate competitive moat, 3.60% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 26.5% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 20 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +2% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the Street see limited upside at this price.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Hotel REITs Feel Every Booking Cycle
Picture a hotel lobby on a quiet Tuesday. Bookings ebb with every business trip cut or holiday cancelled, and Host Hotels owns the properties that capture that swing. We pass because the shares trade at a 24 times forward multiple while revenue inches forward just 3 percent a year and fair value sits well below the current price.
The business posts a 16 percent profit margin and 15 percent return on equity with a moderate moat, yet the ethical screen flags excessive debt. Twenty analysts may still say buy, but the numbers show a company priced for better times than the growth outlook supports.
Cyclical hotel cash flows can look steady at the peak, yet the debt load leaves little room when travel slows. Negative margin of safety at current levels simply widens the gap between price and value.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
HST trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-29Accumulation$24.72+3.1%Entry 10
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-28Accumulation$23.97+0.0%Entry 9
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 20% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23Accumulation$23.97+3.2%Entry 8
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 3.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 17% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
2026-10-16Accumulation$23.22+2.5%Entry 7
The analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 2.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
The framework has shifted from distribution to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 2.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 8.9% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
2026-08-01Markup · changed$25.47+3.5%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 3.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
2026-07-18Accumulation$24.62+0.0%Entry 3
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 27% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 58%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 20%. The street (20 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $23.
2026-07-03Accumulation$24.62+0.0%Entry 2
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$24.62Entry 1
Our analysis reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
