The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 39% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 221%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 34%. The street (6 analysts) rates it strong buy, with a mean price target of $49.
PACS Group, Inc. PACS
Clears the common standard
An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · PACS Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates skilled nursing facilities and assisted living facilities in the United States.
read at $46.13
PACS Group, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $46.13.
- PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Accumulation label
- INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
- SCScreen · passes the values gate
- edge confirmed
- edge broken
- edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 11 days |
| Price | $46.13 |
| Valuation | 29.76 trailing · 18.85 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | -0.08 |
The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth
Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going
The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street
Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
| Revenue growth | 11.20% |
| Profit margin | 4.49% |
| Debt to equity | 336.46 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy · 6 covering |
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English
It depends which standard you follow. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor, and on this company they disagree. Here is how it did on each:
Used by most halal investing apps ✗ DOES NOT PASS
The one Titan applies ✓ PASSES
Why the two disagree. They fall out over one thing only: the company’s debt. Our stricter standard measures that debt against what the company owns, and it works out too high to pass. The common standard measures the same debt against what the company is worth on the stock market, where it works out low enough to pass. Every other check, the two agree on. So in practice, most halal apps would treat this as fine to hold, while our stricter view would not — and which line you follow is between you and your scholar.
What these two standards are, and how they differ →
- Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
- Debt load Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Against market value it is 48.0%, under the 30% line the market-value standard uses — so that standard clears it. Divergent
- Interest-bearing cash Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
- Receivables Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
- Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass
Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
Nursing homes offer thin margins despite high returns
Running care homes for the elderly is steady work but rarely exciting. PACS Group owns and operates skilled nursing and assisted living facilities across the United States, collecting steady fees from residents and government programmes. The business is simple, yet it must navigate tight staffing rules and reimbursement rates that leave little room for error.
The numbers show a company earning a 27% return on equity while growing revenue 11% a year, yet profit margins sit at just 4%. Trading at 18.9 times forward earnings with an unknown moat, the shares sit below our fair value but fail to clear the bar for a real opportunity. The ethical screen is passed, yet the setup offers nothing compelling enough to act.
Policy shifts on Medicare payments, rising labour costs and regional occupancy swings remain real threats that could compress those already slim margins further. A strong buy rating from analysts does not change the lack of durable advantage or margin of safety on offer here. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 18.9x priced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 29.8x a premium valuation |
| Revenue growth | 11.2% steady growth |
| Profit margin | 4.5% barely profitable |
| Return on equity | 27.1% an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| Debt to equity | 3.36 heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.00 below 1 — short-term bills exceed liquid assets |
| Beta | -0.08 barely tracks the market's swings |
| Market cap | $7.3B |
| Employees | 47,455 |
The risks · The things to watch: it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Related securities · others in PACS's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
PACS trades on the NYSE. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $31.90 | +7.7% | · | $1,077 | +7.7% |
| 2 months | $33.75 | +1.8% | · | $1,018 | +1.8% |
| 3 months | $33.69 | +2.0% | · | $1,020 | +2.0% |
| 6 months | $33.38 | +2.9% | · | $1,029 | +2.9% |
| 1 year | $10.69 | +221.4% | · | $3,214 | +221.4% |
| 2 years | $30.06 | +14.3% | · | $1,143 | +14.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.