The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 4% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 67%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 46%.
OceanaGold Corporation OGC
Clears both ethical standardsAn entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.
In plain words · OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand.
read at $24.13
OceanaGold Corporation holds its Distribution at $24.13.
- PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
- INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
- SCScreen · passes the values gate
- edge confirmed
- edge broken
- edge forming
Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.
The investor read · the season, not the day
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Elevated stress, defensive posture warranted, held for 2 days |
| Price | $24.13 |
| Valuation | 7.36 trailing · N/A forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.51 |
The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean
| Trailing P/E | 7.4x very cheap relative to earnings |
| Revenue growth | 98.5% growing very fast |
| Profit margin | 33.7% highly profitable on every dollar of sales |
| Return on equity | 34.6% an exceptional return on shareholder capital |
| Debt to equity | 2.20 heavy leverage — higher risk if revenue softens |
| Current ratio | 1.45 adequate liquidity, worth monitoring |
| Beta | 1.51 much more volatile than the market |
| Market cap | $5.4B |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day; its business and earnings are exposed to Canada and to currency swings; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Related securities · others in OGC's space worth a look
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are
OGC trades on the NYSE (the company is based in Canada). As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The trader read · the latest dated commentary
The dated journal · newest first, never edited
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
What holding actually paid · price plus dividends
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $32.64 | -26.2% | $0.09 | $741 | -25.9% |
| 2 months | $34.05 | -29.3% | $0.09 | $710 | -29.0% |
| 3 months | $36.71 | -34.4% | $0.09 | $659 | -34.1% |
| 6 months | $27.99 | -13.9% | $0.18 | $867 | -13.3% |
| 1 year | $14.41 | +67.1% | $0.18 | $1,684 | +68.4% |
| 2 years | $6.62 | +264.1% | $0.27 | $3,682 | +268.2% |
| 3 years | $6.35 | +279.7% | $0.33 | $3,849 | +284.9% |
| 5 years | $6.28 | +283.4% | $0.36 | $3,891 | +289.1% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.