Screened 2026-09-11 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its accumulation label.
Matson, Inc. holds its Accumulation at $230.18. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 16 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-11
Phase
Accumulation
Quantitative state
The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 16 days
Price at the screen
$230.18
Valuation
15.53 trailing · 13.78 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 70.0
Beta
1.26
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
15.69%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 15.7% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
8.60%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 8.6% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
0.95%
Below 5%
Only 0.9% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-11 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 12.9% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 3 covering, consensus None. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-11 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Shipping lanes look busy but the price does not
Every time a container ship pulls into Honolulu or Anchorage, Matson keeps the islands stocked with cars, food and building materials. The business clears a 13 percent profit margin and 16 percent return on equity, numbers that look solid on the surface. Yet revenue is already falling 3 percent and our fair value sits 17 percent below the current share price, so we pass.
The forward multiple of 14.4 times earnings may tempt buyers hunting for value in a cyclical trade. Peak shipping rates often produce exactly this pattern, low multiples that simply reflect earnings about to normalise lower. Analyst targets sit higher, but we see no margin of safety once the cycle turns.
Currency swings, fuel costs and sudden drops in freight demand remain live threats even though the ethical screen is clear. The combination of stretched valuation and cyclical exposure leaves no room for error. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
MATX trades on the NYSE. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The framework has shifted from markup to accumulation since the last review. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved up 10.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 34% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $224. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-08-05Markup$202.59+0.3%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 0.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 34% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $224.
2026-07-18Markup$201.94+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 34% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 72%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 28%. The street (3 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $224.
2026-07-03Markup$201.94+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Markup$201.94Entry 1
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
