The Screen · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Lam Research
LRCX · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $400.9B · 20,600 employees
Lam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Sout…
Screened 2026-09-08 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its distribution label.
Lam Research holds its Distribution at $320.42. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 3 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-09-08
Phase
Distribution · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 3 days
Price at the screen
$320.42
Valuation
55.73 trailing · 27.69 forward price to earnings
Values screen
PASS· score 77.5
Beta
1.86
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
21.01%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is just 21.0% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money.
Pass
Interest-bearing cash
0.00%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
45.77%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 45.8% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.25%
Below 5%
Only 1.3% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is Worth
The Fair Value Range
Our framework reads OVERVALUED: it trades above our $232.39 fair value estimate, strong competitive moat, 30.00% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-09-08 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. The price runs 27.5% above the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 31 covering, consensus Strong Buy. The average target sits +15% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Our more conservative model reads it as fully-to-richly valued here, while the Street is more bullish: a quality-at-a-fair-price name rather than a deep-value one.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-09-08 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Gearing Up for a Cyclical Warning
Lam Research's machinery is the lifeblood in the fabrication of integrated circuits, a critical cog in the global tech industry's machinery. Think of it as the ironworker constructing the steel skeleton of a high-tech skyscraper. Why it stands out: The company boasts a strong moat, robust revenue growth near 30%, and an impressive 65% return on equity, backed by a strong-buy consensus from 31 analysts.
However, we're flashing a yellow light here. Lam Research operates in a cyclical industry, and its current low P/E ratio might lure the unsuspecting into a cyclical value trap. High growth and profit margins are promising, but with the sector's inherent volatility, the numbers could turn as swiftly as the tech winds. The market is pricing Lam Research at a lofty $310.53, significantly higher than our fair value estimate of $233.83, indicating a substantial overvaluation risk.
Risks include the inherent ups and downs of the semiconductor cycle, which can make the stellar financials seem like a mirage. The ethical screen is clean, but investors should be aware of the cyclical nature of the business when considering an investment. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
LRCX trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-08-29Markup$310.53+1.7%Entry 11
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 1.7% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-07-28Markup$305.21+0.0%Entry 10
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-27Markup$305.21+0.0%Entry 9
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-26Markup$305.21+0.0%Entry 8
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-25Markup$305.21-2.6%Entry 7
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 2.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-24Markup$313.30+0.0%Entry 6
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-23Markup$313.30+0.0%Entry 5
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-22Markup$313.30+3.3%Entry 4
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 3.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-07-18Markup$303.28+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it A. Technically it is holding around 70% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading bullish. Over the past year the shares are up 257%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 42%. The street (32 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $312. Insiders have been net sellers over the past quarter.
2026-07-03Markup$303.28+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
