JetBlue Airways Corporation provides air transportation services.
FAIL · Does not pass the screen
4.89 USD
At the last full screen 2026-08-27
Screened 2026-08-27 · the tape above runs as of 22:12 UTC · 11 Sep · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
The Label · The Season, Not the Day
This name holds its markdown label.
JetBlue Airways Corporation holds its Markdown at $4.89. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 11 days.
As held on the ledger · 2026-08-27
Phase
Markdown · caution
Quantitative state
Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 11 days
Price at the screen
$4.89
Valuation
N/A trailing · -10.77 forward price to earnings
Values screen
FAIL· score 70.0
Beta
1.74
The Workings
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Debt ratio
Test
Figure
Limit
What it means
Status
Business activity
Permissible
Core business clean
Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending.
Pass
Debt load
56.83%
Below 33%
Interest-bearing debt is 56.8% of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows.
Fail
Interest-bearing cash
1.29%
Below 33%
Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 1.3% of assets, under the one-third limit.
Pass
Receivables
13.99%
Below 49%
Money owed to the company is 14.0% of assets, under the 49% limit.
Pass
Revenue purity
1.40%
Below 5%
Only 1.4% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line.
Pass
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-08-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 22.7% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 15 covering, consensus Underperform. The average target sits +23% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & Projections
Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-08-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain Words
Airlines look cheap until the next downturn hits
Picture a packed flight that suddenly empties when fuel spikes or recession fears rise. JetBlue sits in exactly that spot, posting revenue growth of just 5 percent while running an 8 percent loss and negative 34 percent return on equity. The forward multiple looks eye-catching at negative 10.1 times, yet that figure simply reflects ongoing red ink rather than any bargain.
We pass because the business shows no durable edge and the airline sector's cycles punish carriers that cannot cover their costs through the troughs. Analyst consensus sits at hold with a 6 dollar median target that matches our own modest fair value and leaves only an 11 percent margin of safety, too thin for the volatility on offer.
The low multiple is the classic cyclical trap, not a signal of value, because earnings can swing sharply lower when travel demand fades. Ethical checks clear but the financial picture does not. Analysis, not advice.
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market; it already moves more than the market on an average day; it carries a real debt load, which raises the stakes if revenue slips.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to Trade
JBLU trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited
Every Entry, As Written
2026-09-02Markdown · changed$4.89-9.8%Entry 5
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 9.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-08-03Markup · changed$5.42+8.2%Entry 4
The framework has shifted from accumulation to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 8.2% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-18Accumulation$5.01+0.0%Entry 3
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is sitting below its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are down 7%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 31%. The street (16 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $5.
2026-07-03Accumulation$5.01+0.0%Entry 2
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
2026-07-02Accumulation$5.01Entry 1
The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.