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The Screen · Financials · Banks - Regional

Heritage Financial Corporation logoHeritage Financial Corporation

HFWA · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.2B · 905 employees

Heritage Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank that provides various financial services to small and medium sized businesses and its owners in the United States.

FAIL · Does not pass the screen
29.11 USD

Price as of 27 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quote

Screened 2026-10-27 · the tape above runs as of 02:01 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed

Key facts today

  • Price29.11 USD at the 27 Oct 2026 close
  • Ethical screenDoes not pass
  • OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.00)
  • Last reviewed27 Oct 2026 (2 days ago)

A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.

PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
29.7434.0049.56

What this means: price 29.11 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 34.00, over the last year.

Current read
Accumulation ?
Screened · screened 2026-10-27
  • Trend Accumulation
  • Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • Options put/call open interest 1.00, read 2026-10-25
  • Ethical does not pass the values gate
Price29.11 USD
Fair value34.00
Ethical score30.0/100
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-08-31Read Markdown28.86+0.9% to today Markup gives way to Markdown after a 5% slide in 4 weeks
2026-08-01Read Markup30.52-4.6% to today Markdown gives way to Markup after a 5% rise in 4 weeks
2026-07-02Read Markdown29.04+0.2% to today First review on file: Markdown

Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.

The full research record, in depth, below
The Label · The Season, Not the Day

This name holds its accumulation label.

Heritage Financial Corporation holds its Accumulation at $29.11. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days.

As held on the ledger · 2026-10-27
PhaseAccumulation
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days
Price at the screen$29.11
Valuation14.48 trailing · 11.01 forward price to earnings
Values screenFAIL · score 30.0
Beta0.50
The Workings

Five Screens, Shown in Full

Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank

TestFigureLimitWhat it meansStatus
Business activity Excluded Core business clean Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank Fail
Debt load Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. Fail
Interest-bearing cash Excluded Below 33% Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. Fail
Receivables Excluded Below 49% Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. Fail
Revenue purity Excluded Below 5% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. Fail

Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.

The Ethical Read

Why It Falls Short, in Plain English

Heritage Financial does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.

Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.

Follow this verdict

Get an email when HFWA's ethical verdict changes

Today HFWA does not pass the screen. If new figures move it to a pass, we send you one short email with the before and after. Verdicts change rarely, so you may not hear from us for a long time.

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What the Numbers Say It Is Worth

The Fair Value Range

29.74Conservative34.00Base case49.56Growth case 29.11Price

Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 16.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.

The Street's Range
31.00Street low 33.00Street average 34.00Street high 29.11Price

Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Price History & Projections
$35.5$24.5$13.6TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONOur fair value$34.00 +18%Street high$34.00 +18%Street avg$33.00 +15%Conservative$29.74 +4%

Where it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The Business, in Plain Words

Local Bank Clears Numbers But Fails Ethical Test

Picture a regional lender handing loans to small businesses from Washington state down the coast. Heritage Financial shows revenue growth of 37 percent and a forward earnings multiple of just 10.9 times, yet we pass without hesitation because the business sits inside a prohibited sector on our ethical screen.

The figures look steady on the surface with 27 percent profit margins and an 11 percent gap to our fair value of 34 dollars. Still the ethical flag overrides any margin of safety and leaves the opportunity rating at none.

Low 7 percent return on equity already hints at thin returns through the cycle while bank earnings can swing hard when rates or credit conditions shift. We simply do not engage.

Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E11.0xcheap for a company growing this fast
Trailing P/E14.5xreasonably valued
EPS, trailing2.01
EPS, forward2.64
Revenue growth+31.8%strong top-line growth
Profit margin24.6%healthy profit margins
Return on equity7.8%a modest return on shareholder capital
Dividend yield331.00%
Beta0.50barely tracks the market's swings
Short interest, float0.09%
52-week range21.32 - 31.25
Market cap$1.2B
Employees905

The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Where & How to Trade

HFWA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The Dated Journal · Newest First, Never Edited

Every Entry, As Written

2026-10-22 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 14

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-21 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 13

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-20 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 12

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-19 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 11

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-18 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 10

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-17 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 9

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-16 Markdown $26.88 +0.0% Entry 8

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-15 Markdown $26.88 -4.8% Entry 7

The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.

2026-10-02 Markdown $28.25 -2.1% Entry 6

Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

2026-08-31 Markdown · changed $28.86 -5.5% Entry 5

The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

Latest News · What the Market Is Reading on HFWA

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.

Related Securities · Others in HFWA's Space

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

What Holding Actually Paid · Price Plus Dividends
If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $26.94 +6.6% · $1,066 +6.6%
2 months $27.06 +6.1% $0.24 $1,070 +7.0%
3 months $24.87 +15.4% $0.24 $1,164 +16.4%
6 months $24.87 +15.4% $0.48 $1,174 +17.4%
1 year $22.89 +25.4% $0.96 $1,296 +29.6%
2 years $15.84 +81.3% $1.90 $1,933 +93.3%
3 years $15.08 +90.4% $2.80 $2,090 +109.0%
5 years $22.78 +26.0% $4.49 $1,457 +45.7%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Ledger's Promise

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HFWA does next, these words stay.

Heritage Financial Corporation · HFWA · Accumulation · $29.11
Recorded 2026-10-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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