The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Heritage Financial Corporation
HFWA · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $1.2B · 905 employees
Heritage Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank that provides various financial services to small and medium sized businesses and its owners in the United States.
FAIL · Does not pass the screenPrice as of 27 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quote
Screened 2026-10-27 · the tape above runs as of 20:04 UTC · 28 Oct · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price29.11 USD at the 27 Oct 2026 close
- Ethical screenDoes not pass
- OptionsOpen interest leans to puts (put/call 1.00)
- Last reviewed27 Oct 2026 (2 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
What this means: price 29.11 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 34.00, over the last year.
- Trend Accumulation
- Insiders no filings inside 60 days, left as found
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 1.00, read 2026-10-25
- Ethical does not pass the values gate
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
This name holds its accumulation label.
Heritage Financial Corporation holds its Accumulation at $29.11. The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days.
| Phase | Accumulation |
| Quantitative state | The statistical read favours the sellers, held for 69 days |
| Price at the screen | $29.11 |
| Valuation | 14.48 trailing · 11.01 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | FAIL · score 30.0 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Does not pass. Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Excluded | Core business clean | Prohibited keyword in sector/industry: bank | Fail |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | Excluded | Below 5% | of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, over the 5% line. | Fail |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadWhy It Falls Short, in Plain English
Heritage Financial does not clear the screen at the business-activity stage. It operates in conventional financial services, which the screen treats as interest-based, so the financial ratios are not the deciding factor here.
Read as at 2026-10-27. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
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The Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-27 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 16.8% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 5 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +13% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-27 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsLocal Bank Clears Numbers But Fails Ethical Test
Picture a regional lender handing loans to small businesses from Washington state down the coast. Heritage Financial shows revenue growth of 37 percent and a forward earnings multiple of just 10.9 times, yet we pass without hesitation because the business sits inside a prohibited sector on our ethical screen.
The figures look steady on the surface with 27 percent profit margins and an 11 percent gap to our fair value of 34 dollars. Still the ethical flag overrides any margin of safety and leaves the opportunity rating at none.
Low 7 percent return on equity already hints at thin returns through the cycle while bank earnings can swing hard when rates or credit conditions shift. We simply do not engage.
Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 11.0xcheap for a company growing this fast |
| Trailing P/E | 14.5xreasonably valued |
| EPS, trailing | 2.01 |
| EPS, forward | 2.64 |
| Revenue growth | +31.8%strong top-line growth |
| Profit margin | 24.6%healthy profit margins |
| Return on equity | 7.8%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| Dividend yield | 331.00% |
| Beta | 0.50barely tracks the market's swings |
| Short interest, float | 0.09% |
| 52-week range | 21.32 - 31.25 |
| Market cap | $1.2B |
| Employees | 905 |
The risks · The things to watch: it's a small-cap, so the share price can swing harder than the market.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeHFWA trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 3% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
The analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 4.8% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
Our analysis reads markdown. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 2.1% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
The framework has shifted from markup to markdown since the last review. Price is trending lower. Sellers are in control and the prior trend has reversed. Price has moved down 5.5% since our last review. Ethical screening: FAIL. This security does not pass our values-based screening criteria. The risk-adjusted return profile shows excellent risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 11% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 25%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (5 analysts) rates it none, with a mean price target of $31.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
- Is Heritage Financial (HFWA) Cheap Following Its Kitsap Conversion And Margin Improvement? Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Heritage Financial Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Heritage Financial (HFWA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Heritage Financial Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Heritage Financial (HFWA) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say Yahoo Finance · 7d ago
Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference: not our reporting, not advice.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $26.94 | +6.6% | · | $1,066 | +6.6% |
| 2 months | $27.06 | +6.1% | $0.24 | $1,070 | +7.0% |
| 3 months | $24.87 | +15.4% | $0.24 | $1,164 | +16.4% |
| 6 months | $24.87 | +15.4% | $0.48 | $1,174 | +17.4% |
| 1 year | $22.89 | +25.4% | $0.96 | $1,296 | +29.6% |
| 2 years | $15.84 | +81.3% | $1.90 | $1,933 | +93.3% |
| 3 years | $15.08 | +90.4% | $2.80 | $2,090 | +109.0% |
| 5 years | $22.78 | +26.0% | $4.49 | $1,457 | +45.7% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HFWA does next, these words stay.
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