Framework Journal · one stock, one dated entry

Recorded 2026-07-27 · Permanent

An entry written while the outcome is still unknown. It will be scored by what the market does next, and it will never be edited to look cleverer than it was.

In plain words · Halliburton Company provides products and services to the energy industry worldwide.

The label
Distribution

read at $32.13

Halliburton holds its Distribution at $32.13.

PHINPOOPSC
  • PHPhase · the trend structure carries the Distribution label
  • INInsiders · no filings inside 60 days, left as found
  • POPositioning · no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
  • OPOptions · no verdict drawn today, left as found
  • SCScreen · passes the values gate
  • edge confirmed
  • edge broken
  • edge forming

Each arm is one independent read. Conviction is not a single call, it is how many edges converge.

The investor read · the season, not the day

As held on the ledger · 2026-07-27
PhaseDistribution · caution
Quantitative stateThe statistical read favours the buyers, held for 19 days
Price$32.13
Valuation16.82 trailing · 11.04 forward price to earnings
Values screenPASS · score 80.5
Beta0.73

The opportunity · what the numbers say it is worth

Our framework reads OPPORTUNITY — it trades at roughly a 5% discount to our $33.80 fair value, narrow competitive moat, 3.70% revenue growth.

Read at
$32.13
16.82 P/E · 11.04 fwd
Our fair value
$33.80
5% discount
Analyst target (avg)
$43.00
+34% to current
Target low $29.00Analyst target rangeTarget high $53.00
▲ current $32.13 · | average target

Price history & projections · where it has been, where the models see it going

$55.5$37.1$18.7TODAY5y agoPROJECTIONAnalyst high$53.00 +33%Analyst avg$43.00 +8%Our fair value$33.80 -15%Conservative$26.10 -35%

The valuation journey · where the price sits against fair value and the Street

Current
$32.13
you are here
Conservative
$26.10
-19%
Analyst avg
$43.00
+34%
Our fair value
$33.80
+5%
Analyst high
$53.00
+65%

Green marks levels above today's price, red below; the shaded band is the gap between the price and our fair value.

Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.

Revenue growth3.70%
Profit margin7.16%
Debt to equity74.19
Analyst consensusBuy · 25 covering

Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; target range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.

The values screen, explained · five checks, plain English

This company clears both standards. There are two widely recognised ways to check whether a company is suitable for a Muslim investor. Here is how it did on each:

The common standard · AAOIFI
Used by most halal investing apps
✓ PASSES
Our stricter standard · asset-based
The one Titan applies
✓ PASSES

What these two standards are, and how they differ →

  • Business activity Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines — no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. Pass
  • Debt load Interest-bearing debt is just 32.5% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling — it does not run on borrowed money. Pass
  • Interest-bearing cash Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. Pass
  • Receivables Money owed to the company is 28.6% of assets, under the 49% limit. Pass
  • Revenue purity Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources — under the 5% line. Pass

Every security is read against two recognised standards: our stricter asset-based screen (ratios measured against total assets) and the more widely used market-value standard (measured against market capitalisation). Where they agree we say so plainly; where they part ways — almost always on the debt check — we show both readings and mark it, because that disagreement is the finding, not a fault. We report the score; you and your scholar make the call.

The business, in plain words · what the numbers mean

Oil services name flashes cheap but cycles bite

Picture a rig crew working flat out when crude prices spike. Halliburton rides those waves with a narrow moat, 15 percent return on equity and a forward multiple of just 12 times. Revenue sits flat and margins are only 7 percent, yet the shares trade right on our fair value line with an ethical screen cleared.

That low multiple draws attention in a sector where analysts see further upside. Still, a cyclical business showing zero top-line growth rarely offers a true bargain when earnings sit near their peak. The modest discount to our value does not change the pattern that has caught investors before.

Risk sits in the familiar energy trap where a low multiple signals fading demand rather than an overlooked gem. When the cycle turns, the narrow moat offers little protection and multiples can compress further.

Analysis, not advice.

The fundamentals · plain-English read
Forward P/E11.0x
expensive even after accounting for its growth
Trailing P/E16.8x
reasonably valued
Revenue growth3.7%
slow but positive growth
Profit margin7.2%
thin but positive margins
Return on equity14.9%
a solid return on shareholder capital
Debt to equity0.74
moderate, manageable leverage
Current ratio2.02
comfortably covers its short-term bills
Beta0.73
steadier than the market
Market cap$26.8B
Employees46,000

The risks · The main risks here are ordinary market swings and the chance our fair-value read proves too optimistic.

Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.

Latest news · what the market is reading on HAL

Headlines from third-party outlets, linked for reference — not our reporting, not advice.

Related securities · others in HAL's space worth a look

Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.

Where & how to trade · wherever in the world you are

HAL trades on a US exchange. As a US-listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering US markets. New to this, or investing from outside the US? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.

The trader read · the latest dated commentary

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 34% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (25 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $44. Entered 2026-07-18 · Accumulation

The dated journal · newest first, never edited

2026-07-18 Accumulation $39.18 +0.0% Entry 3

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 34% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 88%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 24%. The street (25 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $44.

2026-07-03 Accumulation $39.18 +0.0% Entry 2

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

2026-07-02 Accumulation $39.18 Entry 1

The framework reads accumulation. Smart money appears to be quietly building positions. This typically precedes a markup phase. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns.

Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.

The insider ledger · Form 4 filings, as filed

Most recent filings · HAL
DateInsiderTitleTypeSharesValue
2026-05-15 BECKWITH VAN H. Officer 198,349 $8,189,830
2026-05-05 MAXWELL MICHAEL CASEY Officer 20,348 $852,445
2026-04-30 YOUNG TOBI M. EDWARDS Director 6,125 $255,538
2026-04-30 MCKEON TIMOTHY M. Officer and Treasurer 8,655 $363,510
2026-03-27 MILLER JEFFREY ALLEN Chief Executive Officer 158,455 $6,338,200
2026-03-16 BECKWITH VAN H. Officer 19,618 $663,481
2026-03-16 SLOCUM JEFFREY SHANNON Chief Operating Officer 5,441 $184,015
2026-03-06 MCKEON TIMOTHY M. Officer and Treasurer 3,846 $132,187
2026-02-27 SLOCUM JEFFREY SHANNON Chief Operating Officer 8,845 $318,420
2026-02-27 YASSINE RAMI Officer 5,897 $212,292

Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.

What holding actually paid · price plus dividends

If $1,000 had been placed · historical, not a promise
PeriodPrice thenPrice returnDivs per share$1,000 becameTotal return
1 month $40.09 -0.3% $0.17 $1,001 +0.1%
2 months $37.43 +6.7% $0.17 $1,072 +7.2%
3 months $34.69 +15.2% $0.17 $1,157 +15.7%
6 months $28.86 +38.5% $0.34 $1,396 +39.6%
1 year $21.26 +88.0% $0.68 $1,912 +91.2%
2 years $32.85 +21.7% $1.36 $1,258 +25.8%
3 years $30.22 +32.2% $2.02 $1,389 +38.9%
5 years $21.85 +82.9% $2.91 $1,962 +96.2%

Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever HAL does next, these words stay.

Halliburton · HAL · Distribution · $32.13
Recorded 2026-07-27 · before the outcome · scored mechanically

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