2026-10-25
Generac clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
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latest tape · as of 10:09 UTC
The Screen · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Generac
GNRC · a US exchange · USD · Market cap $11.4B · 9,400 employees
Generac Holdings Inc.
Not yet scored186.92 USD
Price as of 23 Oct 2026Daily close, not a live quoteLast reviewed 6 days ago
Screened 2026-10-23 · the tape above runs as of 10:09 UTC · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
Key facts today
- Price186.92 USD at the 23 Oct 2026 close
- Our ratingAvoid, current read distribution
- Ethical screenNot yet scored
- OptionsOpen interest leans heavily to calls (put/call 0.62)
- Last reviewed23 Oct 2026 (6 days ago)
A summary of the dated readings below, not a live quote and not advice.
PRICE · FAIR-VALUE RANGE1M3M6MYTD1Y3Y5Y
What this means: price 186.92 against the desk's fair-value range, base estimate 271.94, over the last year.
- Trend Distribution
- Insiders insiders sold, $119,184, latest filing 2026-10-05
- Positioning no disclosures inside 60 days, left as found
- Options put/call open interest 0.62, read 2026-10-28
- Ethical screen not yet scored
Price186.92 USD
Fair value271.94
Ethical score85.6/100
RatingAVOID
Our investment reviews on this name
2026-10-24Read Distribution192.68-3.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution first Distribution read since October
2026-10-23Read Markup192.68-3.0% to today Distribution gives way to Markup first Markup read since October
2026-10-21Read Distribution192.68-3.0% to today ✓Markup gives way to Distribution after a 6% slide in 7 weeks
2026-08-31Read Markup205.98-9.3% to today Distribution gives way to Markup after a 5% rise in 4 weeks
Our analytic regime reads on this name, dated and marked against the screened price. Small sample per name, and separate from the daily-framework accuracy on the Track Record page.
The full research record, in depth, below
This name holds its distribution label.
Generac holds its Distribution at $186.92. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 27 days.
| Phase | Distribution · caution |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 27 days |
| Price at the screen | $186.92 |
| Valuation | 44.29 trailing · 14.83 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | Not scored · score 85.6 |
| Beta | 1.92 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
This security has not been fully scored against the values screen yet.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | 26.88% | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is just 26.9% of its assets, well under the one-third ceiling: it does not run on borrowed money. | Pass |
| Interest-bearing cash | 0.00% | Below 33% | Cash held in interest-bearing accounts and securities is 0.0% of assets, under the one-third limit. | Pass |
| Receivables | 16.94% | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is 16.9% of assets, under the 49% limit. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
The Ethical ReadThe Read, in Plain English
Generac clears the business-activity screen and the figures we can measure look clean, but one or more financial figures are still pending, so the verdict is not final yet.
Read as at 2026-10-28. It updates when the underlying figures move, and past reads are kept below.
2026-09-24
Clears
Generac clears all five screens. Its business is in a permissible area, its interest-bearing debt is about 27%, inside the ~33% line, and almost none of its income is interest, so it passes.
Earlier reads, kept as written. The ethical profile is tracked over time, not overwritten.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Our analysis reads AVOID: it trades at roughly a 46% discount to our $271.94 fair value, weak competitive moat, 10.60% revenue growth.
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-10-23 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 45.5% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 18 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +52% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-10-23 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsGenerators Fire Up But Returns Stay Weak
When the lights flicker out in a Midwest storm, Generac's standby units kick in to keep fridges and freezers running. The business clears the ethical screen yet still fails to meet our standards.
Revenue climbs 12 percent, yet profit margins sit at just 4 percent and return on equity reaches only 7 percent. A weak moat and 19 times forward earnings leave little room for error, which is why we pass even with a calculated margin of safety.
Housing cycles and rivals can quickly trim demand and pricing power, turning modest growth into thin results for owners. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 14.8xpriced for continued growth |
| Trailing P/E | 44.3xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 4.35 |
| EPS, forward | 12.99 |
| Revenue growth | +10.6%steady growth |
| Profit margin | 5.8%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 9.5%a modest return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 2.54% |
| Debt to equity | 0.49minimal debt: a conservative balance sheet |
| Current ratio | 2.05comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.92much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.04% |
| 52-week range | 134.80 - 296.44 |
| Moat | WEAK |
| Market cap | $11.4B |
| Employees | 9,400 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeGNRC trades on a US exchange. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
2026-10-28
Distribution $192.68
+0.0% Entry 15
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-27
Distribution $192.68
+0.0% Entry 14
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-26
Distribution $192.68
+0.0% Entry 13
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it C. Technically it is momentum reading bearish. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-25
Distribution $192.68
+0.0% Entry 12
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: not fully scored yet. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-24
Distribution · changed $192.68
+0.0% Entry 11
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-23
Markup · changed $192.68
+0.0% Entry 10
The framework has shifted from distribution to markup since the last review. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-22
Distribution $192.68
+0.0% Entry 9
The analysis reads distribution. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-21
Distribution · changed $192.68
-14.3% Entry 8
The framework has shifted from markup to distribution since the last review. Smart money appears to be selling into strength. Institutional holders may be rotating out. Price has moved down 14.3% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it D. Technically it is momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. It reported earnings in this window, a natural checkpoint for the thesis.
2026-10-14
Markup $224.94
+9.6% Entry 7
The analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved up 9.6% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows modest positive risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 45% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277.
2026-10-02
Markup $205.21
-0.4% Entry 6
Our analysis reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.4% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with strong ethical credentials. The risk-adjusted return profile shows good risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B, carrying a low risk profile. Technically it is holding around 45% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading neutral. Over the past year the shares are up 83%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 32%. The street (15 analysts) rates it buy, with a mean price target of $277. Since the last review it its composite score eased.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
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| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Taffe Norman P | Pres Generac Home | S - Sale+OE | 550 | $119,184 |
| 2026-10-02 | Raabe Kyle Andrew | Pres, Home Power Gen. | S - Sale+OE | 603 | $128,180 |
| 2026-10-01 | Jagdfeld Aaron | CEO | S - Sale | 5,000 | $1,030,000 |
| 2026-05-01 | JAGDFELD AARON P | Chief Executive Officer | 5,000 | $1,300,100 | |
| 2026-05-01 | RAMON DAVID A | Director | 699 | $180,223 | |
| 2026-05-01 | MORGAN BENNETT J | Director | 825 | $212,710 | |
| 2026-05-01 | BOHL KATHRYN V. | Director | 699 | $180,223 | |
| 2026-05-01 | DIXON ROBERT D | Director | 699 | $180,223 | |
| 2026-05-01 | LAMPEREUR ANDREW G | Director | 820 | $211,421 | |
| 2026-05-01 | AVEDON MARCIA J | Director | 699 | $180,223 |
Public filings, recorded as found. The full tape lives at Insider Intelligence.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $271.40 | -11.6% | · | $884 | -11.6% |
| 2 months | $207.03 | +15.9% | · | $1,159 | +15.9% |
| 3 months | $204.10 | +17.6% | · | $1,176 | +17.6% |
| 6 months | $167.65 | +43.1% | · | $1,431 | +43.1% |
| 1 year | $130.82 | +83.4% | · | $1,834 | +83.4% |
| 2 years | $140.66 | +70.6% | · | $1,706 | +70.6% |
| 3 years | $116.77 | +105.5% | · | $2,055 | +105.5% |
| 5 years | $349.18 | -31.3% | · | $687 | -31.3% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever GNRC does next, these words stay.
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