The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen. The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns. Our composite framework grades it B. Technically it is holding around 85% above its long-term trend line with momentum reading overbought. Over the past year the shares are up 13%. Our forward projection puts the odds of a 10% gain over the next month near 26%. The street (27 analysts) rates it hold, with a mean price target of $43.
Enphase Energy, Inc.
ENPH · Nasdaq · USD · Market cap $5.5B · 2,872 employees
Enphase Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry in the United States and internationally.
PASS · Titan Ethical · score 70.0At the last full screen
2026-07-19
Screened 2026-07-19 · the tape above runs as of 22:40 UTC · 24 Jul · two dates, stated on purpose · verdict and workings shown in full · never trimmed
This name holds its markup label.
Enphase Energy, Inc. holds its Markup at $41.57. Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 9 days.
| Phase | Markup |
| Quantitative state | Consolidating, no directional conviction, held for 9 days |
| Price at the screen | $41.57 |
| Valuation | 41.16 trailing · 17.24 forward price to earnings |
| Values screen | PASS · score 70.0 |
| Beta | 1.62 |
Five Screens, Shown in Full
Full pass across all five screens. This security clears the Titan Ethical Standard: its business and its balance sheet both stay inside the lines.
| Test | Figure | Limit | What it means | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity | Permissible | Core business clean | Its core business isn't built on prohibited lines: no gambling, alcohol, tobacco, weapons, or interest-based lending. | Pass |
| Debt load | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing debt is of its assets, above the one-third ceiling the screen allows. | Fail |
| Interest-bearing cash | Excluded | Below 33% | Interest-bearing cash and securities are of assets, above the one-third limit. | Fail |
| Receivables | Excluded | Below 49% | Money owed to the company is of assets, above the 49% limit. | Fail |
| Revenue purity | 0.00% | Below 5% | Only 0.0% of revenue comes from non-compliant sources, under the 5% line. | Pass |
Five checks adapted from AAOIFI screening standards: business activity plus four balance-sheet ratios. All five must pass for ethical clearance. Every figure is arithmetic on public accounts, not judgement.
What the Numbers Say It Is WorthThe Fair Value Range
Fair value range in USD, drawn from the 2026-07-19 screen. The gold marker is the market price at the same screen. A 36.1% margin of safety to the base estimate.
Third-party analyst targets: 26 covering, consensus Buy. The average target sits +21% from the screen price.
Reading the gap · Both our model and the analysts see meaningful upside from here.
Price History & ProjectionsWhere it has been, where the models see it going. History from market close data; projection points are our fair-value estimates and third-party analyst targets, dated to the 2026-07-19 screen.
Fair value and rating are our own model estimates; the Street's range reflects third-party analyst estimates. Analysis, not advice.
The Business, in Plain WordsSolar microinverters hit a revenue wall
Every time a new roof gets fitted with panels, the inverters quietly decide how much power actually reaches the home. Enphase built its name on that simple job, yet revenue has now dropped 21 percent while profit margins sit at just 10 percent and return on equity reaches only 14 percent. The forward multiple of 17.2 times offers little comfort when top-line growth has turned negative.
We pass despite an ethical screen clearance and a calculated margin of safety. The opportunity rating stays at none because shrinking demand for residential solar overrides the headline valuation gap between the current price and our fair value. Analyst targets cluster near 50 dollars, but those forecasts rest on the same fading installation trends the numbers already reveal.
Solar spending moves with subsidy cycles, interest rates and installer backlogs, any of which can stay weak for longer than models expect. Currency moves and component costs add further swings that a 14 percent return on equity does little to cushion. Analysis, not advice.
| Forward P/E | 17.2xreasonably valued |
| Trailing P/E | 41.2xexpensive: the price assumes strong growth ahead |
| EPS, trailing | 1.01 |
| EPS, forward | 2.41 |
| Revenue growth | -20.6%revenue is shrinking |
| Profit margin | 9.6%thin but positive margins |
| Return on equity | 14.1%a solid return on shareholder capital |
| FCF yield | 1.67% |
| Debt to equity | 0.56moderate, manageable leverage |
| Current ratio | 3.80comfortably covers its short-term bills |
| Beta | 1.62much more volatile than the market |
| Short interest, float | 0.21% |
| 52-week range | 25.78 - 73.74 |
| Market cap | $5.5B |
| Employees | 2,872 |
The risks · The things to watch: it already moves more than the market on an average day.
Plain-English interpretation of our own screen data. Analysis, not advice.
Where & How to TradeENPH trades on Nasdaq. As a listed security it is accessible through almost any international broker offering its home market. New to this, or investing from abroad? Our guide to accessing global markets covers brokers, currencies and the practical steps.
Every Entry, As Written
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Price has moved down 0.0% since our last review. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
The framework reads markup. Price is trending higher with momentum. The crowd has caught on and buyers are in control. Ethical screening: PASS with passing ethical screen (70). The risk-adjusted return profile shows negative risk-adjusted returns.
Each entry above was written on its date, before the outcome. A journal you can prune is not a journal.
Screened names in the same industry · explore each on its own page.
| Period | Price then | Price return | Divs per share | $1,000 became | Total return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | $37.65 | +34.9% | · | $1,349 | +34.9% |
| 2 months | $31.19 | +62.8% | · | $1,628 | +62.8% |
| 3 months | $42.60 | +19.2% | · | $1,192 | +19.2% |
| 6 months | $33.01 | +53.8% | · | $1,538 | +53.8% |
| 1 year | $45.08 | +12.6% | · | $1,126 | +12.6% |
| 2 years | $130.67 | -61.1% | · | $389 | -61.1% |
| 3 years | $174.58 | -70.9% | · | $291 | -70.9% |
| 5 years | $147.13 | -65.5% | · | $345 | -65.5% |
Historical returns from market close data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
This entry now belongs to the ledger. Whatever ENPH does next, these words stay.
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Join the deskScreening is research, not a fatwa and not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public accounts at the screen date shown. Always manage your risk.